Final Jan 16
PHO 130 -11.5 o232.0
WAS 123 11.5 u232.0
Final Jan 16
IND 111 -2.0 o228.5
DET 100 2.0 u228.5
Final Jan 16
CLE 114 2.0 o232.0
OKC 134 -2.0 u232.0
Final Jan 16
HOU 127 5.0 o224.5
SAC 132 -5.0 u224.5
Final Jan 16
LAC 118 -7.0 o221.0
POR 89 7.0 u221.0
Milwaukee 1st Eastern Conference58-24
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38
TSN, BSN, TNT

Milwaukee @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Kevin Love will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

Kevin Love

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Kevin Love will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has sunk 51.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 16.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Bobby Portis has sunk 51.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 16.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Khris Middleton has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Khris Middleton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production for all stats.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Khris Middleton has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Khris Middleton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production for all stats.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least field goals per game in the league this year (5.8). The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (9th-least in the NBA). Jrue Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least field goals per game in the league this year (5.8). The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (9th-least in the NBA). Jrue Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has converted 38.1% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against Milwaukee is a hard one for threes; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.8). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Gabe Vincent has converted 38.1% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against Milwaukee is a hard one for threes; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.8). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for field goals; opposing starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.4%). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for field goals; opposing starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.4%). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season while on the road. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Brook Lopez has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season while on the road. Brook Lopez has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has made 59.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Kyle Lowry has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of three-point attempts. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Bucks are away from home, opposing teams have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (46.2%). The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Kyle Lowry has made 59.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Kyle Lowry has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of three-point attempts. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Bucks are away from home, opposing teams have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (46.2%). The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Grayson Allen has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three in all games this year while playing on the road. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Grayson Allen has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three in all games this year while playing on the road. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 30.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 65.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 30.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 65.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home.

Joe Ingles Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Ingles
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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