Miami @ New York props

Obi Toppin has converted 2.2 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Obi Toppin has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (15th percentile). The Heat have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Knicks. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile). The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (10th-least in the NBA). Gabe Vincent will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player production for all stats.

Quentin Grimes has scored 16.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's scored overall this season. Quentin Grimes has converted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home. Quentin Grimes has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8). The Heat have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Knicks.

Kyle Lowry has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile). The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (12th-least in the NBA). Kyle Lowry will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production for all stats.

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.7). The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo has sunk 66.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, -8.8% lower than he's put through the net over the course of the season on the road.

The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (13.2). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the league this year (5.8). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (9th-least in the league).

Kevin Love has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has made 62.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 16.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Caleb Martin has successfully made 89.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on the road.

Josh Hart has sunk 53.6% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. Josh Hart has sunk 51.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 11.8% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Josh Hart has tallied 28.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8). The Heat have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Knicks.

Jimmy Butler has posted 37.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 13.6 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 62.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.5% higher than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.0).

Mitchell Robinson has successfully made 68.0% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. The Heat have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Knicks. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.0 shots per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. RJ Barrett has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.7%). The Heat have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Knicks.

Max Strus has successfully made 43.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season away from his home court. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Hartenstein has gone over 4.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.