Final OT Oct 17
CHA 116 5.5 o235.5
IND 121 -5.5 u235.5
Final Oct 17
MIL 84 6.5 o216.0
DAL 109 -6.5 u216.0
Final Oct 17
SA 107 8.5 o223.0
HOU 129 -8.5 u223.0
Final Oct 17
ATL 99 9.0 o223.5
OKC 104 -9.0 u223.5
Final Oct 17
DEN 132 -7.5 o222.5
MIN 126 7.5 u222.5
Final OT Oct 17
LAL 128 7.5 o222.5
PHO 122 -7.5 u222.5
Final Oct 17
SAC 91 1.0 o217.0
LAC 113 -1.0 u217.0
New York 5th Eastern Conference47-35
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38

New York @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Julius Randle has converted 38.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -6.1% lower than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Julius Randle has made 20.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, -9.4% lower than he's sunk over the course of the season. The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.6%). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

Julius Randle

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Julius Randle has converted 38.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -6.1% lower than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Julius Randle has made 20.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, -9.4% lower than he's sunk over the course of the season. The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.6%). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has posted 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.6 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has converted 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing at home. Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.4

Jimmy Butler has posted 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.6 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has converted 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing at home. Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • New York

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-143
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-143
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Knicks. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Knicks. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Max Strus

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • New York

I. Hartenstein
center C • New York
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.6

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Mitchell Robinson has made 59.7% of his field goals while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Mitchell Robinson has made 59.7% of his field goals while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Josh Hart has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

Josh Hart

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Josh Hart has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Knicks. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Knicks. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has converted 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Caleb Martin has averaged a whopping 28.7 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 20.1 minutes per game last season. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. New York is a good one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.6). The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Caleb Martin has converted 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Caleb Martin has averaged a whopping 28.7 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 20.1 minutes per game last season. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. New York is a good one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.6). The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Kyle Lowry has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

RJ Barrett has averaged 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season. RJ Barrett has successfully made 53.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. RJ Barrett has played 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

RJ Barrett has averaged 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season. RJ Barrett has successfully made 53.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. RJ Barrett has played 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-125

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 12.2 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo has sunk 90.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 12.2 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo has sunk 90.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • New York

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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