Miami @ Boston props

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 25 games (9.1). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made an impressive 41.1% of his three-point attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last year. The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted just 21.6 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the NBA). Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are away from home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.2). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls recently: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 19.9 foul shots per game. The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are on the road (8th-least in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Duncan Robinson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance across the board.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls recently: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 19.9 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Lowry has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls recently: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 19.9 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

Gabe Vincent has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance across the board.

Bam Adebayo has made 7.7 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for threes; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 25th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (0.6). The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has sunk 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on the road. Jimmy Butler has attempted 3.4 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. Jimmy Butler has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Boston is a positive one; when the Celtics are playing at home, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs over the last 10 games (18.7).

Al Horford has successfully made an impressive 2.1 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 rate last year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 31.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile). The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Al Horford will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raises player production across the board.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (27th-most in the NBA). Grant Williams will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Max Strus has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus has converted an impressive 87.4% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 78.5 mark last season.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.0 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jayson Tatum has played 36.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has converted a whopping 7.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 5.4 rate last season.