Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
NBALP

Denver @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from his home court, totaling 8.5 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 24th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.0%). Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from his home court, totaling 8.5 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 24th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.0%). Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense). This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense). This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-102

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 95th percentile for threes converted, totaling 3.0 per game this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Rockets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense). The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad (26th-most in the NBA).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 95th percentile for threes converted, totaling 3.0 per game this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Rockets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense). The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad (26th-most in the NBA).

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 0.7 rate, Tari Eason's threes made have spiked this season to 1.3 per game. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Tari Eason will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Tari Eason

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Compared to last season's 0.7 rate, Tari Eason's threes made have spiked this season to 1.3 per game. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Tari Eason will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Compared to last season's 32.6% mark, Dillon Brooks's 3-point effectiveness has spiked this season to 46.3%. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Compared to last season's 32.6% mark, Dillon Brooks's 3-point effectiveness has spiked this season to 46.3%. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 40.9% mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s field goal prowess has increased this year to 49.3%. Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk a whopping 44.2% of his 3-point shots this season, a significant increase from his 27.6 rate last season. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase player production for all stats.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

In contrast to last year's 40.9% mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s field goal prowess has increased this year to 49.3%. Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk a whopping 44.2% of his 3-point shots this season, a significant increase from his 27.6 rate last season. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase player production for all stats.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year. The 4th-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets). In comparison to last season's 65.3% mark, Christian Braun's free-throw ability has diminished this season to 55.0%. This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have attempted 26.2 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Christian Braun

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

The Nuggets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year. The 4th-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets). In comparison to last season's 65.3% mark, Christian Braun's free-throw ability has diminished this season to 55.0%. This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have attempted 26.2 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 28.5% mark, Jae'Sean Tate's three-point effectiveness has increased this year to 37.1%. Jae'Sean Tate has tallied a terrific 21.9 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 20.8 minutes per game last year. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jae'Sean Tate will likely get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jae'Sean Tate

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Relative to last year's 28.5% mark, Jae'Sean Tate's three-point effectiveness has increased this year to 37.1%. Jae'Sean Tate has tallied a terrific 21.9 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 20.8 minutes per game last year. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jae'Sean Tate will likely get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has tallied 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have posted 11.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, making this a difficult matchup for offensive output. The 4th-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Nikola Jokic has tallied 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have posted 11.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, making this a difficult matchup for offensive output. The 4th-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has converted a whopping 41.9% of his three-point attempts this year, a significant increase from his 35.0 mark last year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Reggie Jackson has converted a whopping 41.9% of his three-point attempts this year, a significant increase from his 35.0 mark last year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-112

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope measures in the 82nd percentile for 3-point proficiency when playing on the road with a an excellent 44.8% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 86.2 mark last year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope measures in the 82nd percentile for 3-point proficiency when playing on the road with a an excellent 44.8% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 86.2 mark last year.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jalen Green has averaged a terrific 21.6 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 24.3 points per game last year. Jalen Green has accumulated a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.1 fouls per game last year. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Green has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.5 mark last season.

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Jalen Green has averaged a terrific 21.6 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 24.3 points per game last year. Jalen Green has accumulated a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.1 fouls per game last year. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Green has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.5 mark last season.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Alperen Sengun's shots made have risen this season to 8.5 per game. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Alperen Sengun will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Alperen Sengun's shots made have risen this season to 8.5 per game. As it relates to three-pointers, the Rockets's excellent 37.9% rate of successful threes ranks 10th-most in the NBA this year. Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Alperen Sengun will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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