Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
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Oklahoma City @ Minnesota props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-127

Compared to last season's 32.1% rate, Luguentz Dort's 3-point performance has increased this season to 41.8%. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 14.3 field goal attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup. The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Compared to last season's 32.1% rate, Luguentz Dort's 3-point performance has increased this season to 41.8%. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 14.3 field goal attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup. The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 2.2 rate, Isaiah Joe's three-pointers drained have increased this season to 2.9 per game. Isaiah Joe has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 18th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, opposing clubs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (28.6%). The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Compared to last season's 2.2 rate, Isaiah Joe's three-pointers drained have increased this season to 2.9 per game. Isaiah Joe has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 18th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are away from home, opposing clubs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (28.6%). The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-109

Josh Giddey has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 19th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). Josh Giddey has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 75.8 rate last season.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Josh Giddey has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 19th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). Josh Giddey has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 75.8 rate last season.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has accumulated a mere 1.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 fouls per game last season. This matchup is a difficult one; when the Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (105.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. Compared to last season's 66.9% mark, Naz Reid's free-throw proficiency has spiked this season to 86.4%.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Naz Reid has accumulated a mere 1.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 fouls per game last season. This matchup is a difficult one; when the Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (105.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. Compared to last season's 66.9% mark, Naz Reid's free-throw proficiency has spiked this season to 86.4%.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for field goals; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are at home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (4.7). The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have brought down 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Chet Holmgren ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for field goals; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are at home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (4.7). The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have brought down 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Chet Holmgren ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-122

Relative to last year's 70.4% clip, Rudy Gobert's shooting effectiveness has increased this year to 68.2%. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 24.6 free throws per game away from their home court places 6th-best in the NBA this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Relative to last year's 70.4% clip, Rudy Gobert's shooting effectiveness has increased this year to 68.2%. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 24.6 free throws per game away from their home court places 6th-best in the NBA this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Under
+114

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (34.5%). The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have brought down 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Compared to last year's 9.8 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws sunk have fallen this year to 6.9 per game. Over the last 15 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.3
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.3

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (34.5%). The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have brought down 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Compared to last year's 9.8 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws sunk have fallen this year to 6.9 per game. Over the last 15 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 24.6 free throws per game away from their home court places 6th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting team (26th-most in the NBA).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 24.6 free throws per game away from their home court places 6th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting team (26th-most in the NBA).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has converted a whopping 58.7% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 52.4 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 36.6% mark, Kyle Anderson's three-point proficiency has spiked this season to 50.0%. In contrast to last season's 0.1 mark, Kyle Anderson's technical fouls have declined this season to 0.0 per game. This matchup is a difficult one; when the Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (105.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Kyle Anderson has converted a whopping 58.7% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 52.4 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 36.6% mark, Kyle Anderson's three-point proficiency has spiked this season to 50.0%. In contrast to last season's 0.1 mark, Kyle Anderson's technical fouls have declined this season to 0.0 per game. This matchup is a difficult one; when the Thunder are away from home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (105.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 64.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season on his home court. Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 66.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 21.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Oklahoma is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.9). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 64.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season on his home court. Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 66.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 21.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Oklahoma is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.9). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Relative to last year's 9.4 clip, Anthony Edwards's shots scored have increased this year to 10.1 per game. Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. Anthony Edwards has sunk an impressive 5.3 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 mark last year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Relative to last year's 9.4 clip, Anthony Edwards's shots scored have increased this year to 10.1 per game. Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves. Anthony Edwards has sunk an impressive 5.3 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 mark last year.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams has attempted 14.0 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 10.1 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.8 minutes per game this year. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Jalen Williams has attempted 14.0 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 10.1 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.8 minutes per game this year. The Thunder rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 10th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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