Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26

Boston @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-124

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 84th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a an exceptional 38.0% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.8 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season. With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 48.9% field goal percentage on the road places 2nd-most in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 13.1 shot attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a positive matchup. The Celtics have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 84th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a an exceptional 38.0% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.8 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season. With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 48.9% field goal percentage on the road places 2nd-most in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 13.1 shot attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a positive matchup. The Celtics have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.7 fouls per game since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs since the start of last season (14.1). The 7th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Celtics are the visiting squad (13th-least in the league).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.7 fouls per game since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs since the start of last season (14.1). The 7th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Celtics are the visiting squad (13th-least in the league).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-124

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace home team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from hom in this game.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace home team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from hom in this game.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-104

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace home team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance for all stats.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace home team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance for all stats.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

The 7th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

The 7th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-106

Derrick White has converted 37.9% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have posted the 28th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (39.4%). The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. Among all players in the league, Derrick White ranks in the 85th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a an excellent 86.3% rate since the start of last season.

Derrick White

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Derrick White has converted 37.9% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have posted the 28th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (39.4%). The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. Among all players in the league, Derrick White ranks in the 85th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a an excellent 86.3% rate since the start of last season.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has tallied 30.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile. With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 48.9% field goal percentage on the road places 2nd-most in the league since the start of last season. The Celtics have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense). Mike Conley has attempted 3.3 free throws per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Mike Conley has tallied 30.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile. With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 48.9% field goal percentage on the road places 2nd-most in the league since the start of last season. The Celtics have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense). Mike Conley has attempted 3.3 free throws per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.3% of his field goals since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 48.9% field goal percentage on the road places 2nd-most in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, opposing starting Cs have averaged 0.6 threes per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Celtics have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.3% of his field goals since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 48.9% field goal percentage on the road places 2nd-most in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, opposing starting Cs have averaged 0.6 threes per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Celtics have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-129

Kristaps Porzingis has logged 22.9 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 93rd percentile. Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 31.8 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league since the start of last season (0.8). The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Kristaps Porzingis has logged 22.9 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 93rd percentile. Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 31.8 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league since the start of last season (0.8). The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts when playing on the road, compiling 6.9 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.6 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season. The Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.4).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts when playing on the road, compiling 6.9 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.6 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season. The Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.4).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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