Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43
NBCS-CH, BSN, NBALP

Miami @ Chicago props

United Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
+100

The matchup against Chicago is a challenging one; when the Bulls are on their home court, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.9). The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road this year. The Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year (the Bulls). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

The matchup against Chicago is a challenging one; when the Bulls are on their home court, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.9). The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road this year. The Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year (the Bulls). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have totaled 85.5 field goal attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, creating a difficult matchup.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have totaled 85.5 field goal attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, creating a difficult matchup.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road this year. The Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year (the Bulls). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense). Jimmy Butler figures to suffer a reduction in production for all stats due to playing away from hom in this game.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road this year. The Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year (the Bulls). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense). Jimmy Butler figures to suffer a reduction in production for all stats due to playing away from hom in this game.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 1.9 clip, Kyle Lowry's 3-pointers hit have spiked this year to 2.3 per game. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. In contrast to last season's 88.8% clip, Kyle Lowry's foul-shot ability has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Compared to last year's 1.9 clip, Kyle Lowry's 3-pointers hit have spiked this year to 2.3 per game. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. In contrast to last season's 88.8% clip, Kyle Lowry's foul-shot ability has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Coby White Points Scored Props • Chicago

C. White
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-124

Coby White has attempted 12.4 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.6 mark last year. Relative to last year's 4.4 rate, Coby White's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 6.1 per game. In comparison to last season's 22.4 mark, Coby White's playing time has increased this season to 32.9 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (25th-most in the league) against the Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Coby White

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Coby White has attempted 12.4 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.6 mark last year. Relative to last year's 4.4 rate, Coby White's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 6.1 per game. In comparison to last season's 22.4 mark, Coby White's playing time has increased this season to 32.9 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (25th-most in the league) against the Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Patrick Williams Points Scored Props • Chicago

P. Williams
small forward SF • Chicago
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (86.5). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls. Patrick Williams figures to see a rise in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Patrick Williams

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (86.5). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls. Patrick Williams figures to see a rise in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Torrey Craig Points Scored Props • Chicago

T. Craig
small forward SF • Chicago
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (86.5). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. Torrey Craig has converted an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant increase from his 75.4 mark last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls. Torrey Craig figures to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Torrey Craig

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (86.5). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. Torrey Craig has converted an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant increase from his 75.4 mark last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls. Torrey Craig figures to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Chicago

Z. LaVine
point guard PG • Chicago
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Zach LaVine has converted 40.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% higher than he's converted from three overall this year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. Zach LaVine is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Zach LaVine has converted 40.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% higher than he's converted from three overall this year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. Zach LaVine is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Vucevic Points Scored Props • Chicago

N. Vucevic
center C • Chicago
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-128

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 5.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. Nikola Vucevic stands to see a rise in productivity across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Nikola Vucevic

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 5.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. Nikola Vucevic stands to see a rise in productivity across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Chicago

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

DeMar DeRozan has scored a whopping 24.6 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 24.1 points per game last year. Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 7.0 baskets per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. DeMar DeRozan will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

DeMar DeRozan has scored a whopping 24.6 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 24.1 points per game last year. Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 7.0 baskets per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. DeMar DeRozan will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season. The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road this year. The Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year (the Bulls). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season. The Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while on the road this year. The Heat will likely see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year (the Bulls). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 0.6 clip, Haywood Highsmith's 3-point shots hit have increased this year to 1.3 per game. Haywood Highsmith has averaged an impressive 29.3 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 15.9 minutes per game last season. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. In comparison to last season's 51.8% clip, Haywood Highsmith's free-throw efficiency has surged this season to 90.5%. Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Relative to last year's 0.6 clip, Haywood Highsmith's 3-point shots hit have increased this year to 1.3 per game. Haywood Highsmith has averaged an impressive 29.3 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 15.9 minutes per game last season. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. In comparison to last season's 51.8% clip, Haywood Highsmith's free-throw efficiency has surged this season to 90.5%. Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-127

Compared to last season's 20.2 mark, Bam Adebayo's points per game have risen this season to 24.5. Bam Adebayo has made a whopping 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.1 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, creating a favorable matchup.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Compared to last season's 20.2 mark, Bam Adebayo's points per game have risen this season to 24.5. Bam Adebayo has made a whopping 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.1 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 36.2% rate of made threes when playing at home ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 7 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, creating a favorable matchup.

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

Compared to last year's 5.8 rate, Alex Caruso's points per game have spiked this year to 9.5. Compared to last season's 2.2 mark, Alex Caruso's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 3.9 per game. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.6 3-point attempts per game (25th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Compared to last year's 5.8 rate, Alex Caruso's points per game have spiked this year to 9.5. Compared to last season's 2.2 mark, Alex Caruso's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 3.9 per game. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.6 3-point attempts per game (25th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 13thbest in in the league as the away team with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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