Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
BSN, NBCSCA

Sacramento @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-115

In terms of 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 35.2% rate of sunk threes on the road measures as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense). De'Aaron Fox will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

In terms of 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 35.2% rate of sunk threes on the road measures as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense). De'Aaron Fox will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jordan Hawkins has attempted 7.3 threes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added opportunities for offense).

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Jordan Hawkins has attempted 7.3 threes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added opportunities for offense).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 23rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while at home, registering 1.6 per game this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 35.2% rate of sunk threes on the road measures as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.1 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a hard matchup. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense). Domantas Sabonis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 23rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while at home, registering 1.6 per game this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 35.2% rate of sunk threes on the road measures as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.1 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a hard matchup. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Pelicans (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense). Domantas Sabonis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
-118

In comparison to last season's 41.2% clip, Brandon Ingram's 3-point performance has decreased this season to 23.1%. The Pelicans have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Brandon Ingram has attempted just 4.1 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 6.2 rate last year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

In comparison to last season's 41.2% clip, Brandon Ingram's 3-point performance has decreased this season to 23.1%. The Pelicans have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Brandon Ingram has attempted just 4.1 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 6.2 rate last year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-102

Relative to last season's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots have surged this season to 13.3 per game. Keegan Murray has attempted 7.7 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.1 mark last year. In contrast to last year's 29.1 clip, Keegan Murray's playing time has spiked this year to 34.0 minutes per game. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Relative to last season's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots have surged this season to 13.3 per game. Keegan Murray has attempted 7.7 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.1 mark last year. In contrast to last year's 29.1 clip, Keegan Murray's playing time has spiked this year to 34.0 minutes per game. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (6.6). The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Kevin Huerter has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (6.6). The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-122

Harrison Barnes has sunk a terrific 2.4 treys per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes ranks in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Harrison Barnes has sunk a terrific 2.4 treys per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes ranks in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-102

When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added opportunities for offense). In comparison to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's foul-shot proficiency has risen this year to 91.9%.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added opportunities for offense). In comparison to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's foul-shot proficiency has risen this year to 91.9%.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 1.9 clip, Malik Monk's threes drained have jumped this season to 2.5 per game. This year, the other team has shot 32.2% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a tough matchup. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Relative to last season's 1.9 clip, Malik Monk's threes drained have jumped this season to 2.5 per game. This year, the other team has shot 32.2% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a tough matchup. The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 4th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • New Orleans

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Dyson Daniels has successfully made a whopping 51.0% of his field goals this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.8 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 1.5 mark, Dyson Daniels's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 2.9 per game. Dyson Daniels has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.0 three attempts per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a good matchup.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Dyson Daniels has successfully made a whopping 51.0% of his field goals this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.8 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 1.5 mark, Dyson Daniels's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 2.9 per game. Dyson Daniels has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.0 three attempts per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a good matchup.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

In comparison to last season's 36.1% rate, Zion Williamson's 3-point performance has spiked this season to 50.0%. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Sacramento is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 27th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.9). The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

In comparison to last season's 36.1% rate, Zion Williamson's 3-point performance has spiked this season to 50.0%. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Sacramento is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 27th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.9). The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 7.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 7.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. When it comes to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's remarkable 118.2 points per game as the home team ranks 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 8.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added opportunities for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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