LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
TSN, BSN, KENS

LA @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Terance Mann has successfully made 50.8% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Terance Mann

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Terance Mann has successfully made 50.8% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-112

James Harden has converted a terrific 48.5% of his three-point shots this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.8 rate last year. James Harden has tallied 36.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 baskets per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a strong matchup. The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

James Harden

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

James Harden has converted a terrific 48.5% of his three-point shots this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.8 rate last year. James Harden has tallied 36.3 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 baskets per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a strong matchup. The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

In contrast to last season's 23.1% clip, Jeremy Sochan's 3-point efficiency has surged this season to 37.5%. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year. In comparison to last year's 1.9 clip, Jeremy Sochan's number of free throws has spiked this year to 3.1 free throws per game. Jeremy Sochan will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

In contrast to last season's 23.1% clip, Jeremy Sochan's 3-point efficiency has surged this season to 37.5%. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year. In comparison to last year's 1.9 clip, Jeremy Sochan's number of free throws has spiked this year to 3.1 free throws per game. Jeremy Sochan will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Zach Collins Points Scored Props • San Antonio

Z. Collins
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Zach Collins has successfully made an impressive 5.9 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.5 rate last year. In contrast to last season's 2.4 clip, Zach Collins's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 4.4 per game. Compared to last year's 22.7 clip, Zach Collins's playing time has increased this year to 31.9 minutes per game. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

Zach Collins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Zach Collins has successfully made an impressive 5.9 field goals per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.5 rate last year. In contrast to last season's 2.4 clip, Zach Collins's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 4.4 per game. Compared to last year's 22.7 clip, Zach Collins's playing time has increased this year to 31.9 minutes per game. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Over
+110

Among all players in the league, Paul George lands in the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court, logging 8.4 per game this year. Paul George has averaged 34.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Paul George

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Among all players in the league, Paul George lands in the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court, logging 8.4 per game this year. Paul George has averaged 34.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-104

Relative to last season's 8.7 rate, Keldon Johnson's shots from the field hit have increased this season to 7.3 per game. Keldon Johnson has missed 3.5 3-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.3 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 32.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, their opposition has shot 45.8% on shots from the field (7th-worst in the league) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a difficult matchup.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Relative to last season's 8.7 rate, Keldon Johnson's shots from the field hit have increased this season to 7.3 per game. Keldon Johnson has missed 3.5 3-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.3 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 32.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, their opposition has shot 45.8% on shots from the field (7th-worst in the league) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a difficult matchup.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (17.6). The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (17.6). The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-108

Relative to last year's 17.7 clip, Kawhi Leonard's shots from the field have jumped this year to 18.5 per game. Relative to last year's 4.7 mark, Kawhi Leonard's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 6.7 per game. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 33.5 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3). The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Relative to last year's 17.7 clip, Kawhi Leonard's shots from the field have jumped this year to 18.5 per game. Relative to last year's 4.7 mark, Kawhi Leonard's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 6.7 per game. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 33.5 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3). The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-112

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 16.9 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year. Victor Wembanyama has sunk 82.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.8 free throws per game this year when the LA Clippers have the home court advantage (28th-most in the league).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 16.9 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year. Victor Wembanyama has sunk 82.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.8 free throws per game this year when the LA Clippers have the home court advantage (28th-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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