Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
NBCSB, BSN

Milwaukee @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Pat Connaughton has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Derrick White has converted 2.4 three-pointers per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 20.9 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Derrick White

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Derrick White has converted 2.4 three-pointers per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 20.9 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 13.5 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive output. The least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics. The Celtics have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team has grabbed 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (continuing possessions that can generate added chances for offense). The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 13.5 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive output. The least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics. The Celtics have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team has grabbed 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (continuing possessions that can generate added chances for offense). The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Malik Beasley has converted a terrific 3.9 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.6 rate last year. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (14.5). The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Malik Beasley has converted a terrific 3.9 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.6 rate last year. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most FG attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (14.5). The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday places in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (7.6). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday places in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (7.6). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-129

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a lowly 4.8% of his treys this year, significantly less than his 28.0 rate last year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 24.7% on 3-pointers (13th-worst in the league) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 12.2 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of free throws has fallen this year to 9.7 free throws per game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a lowly 4.8% of his treys this year, significantly less than his 28.0 rate last year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 24.7% on 3-pointers (13th-worst in the league) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 12.2 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of free throws has fallen this year to 9.7 free throws per game.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has converted 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 9.0% more than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has converted a whopping 2.3 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.2 mark last year.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Bobby Portis has converted 59.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 9.0% more than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has converted a whopping 2.3 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.2 mark last year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-120

Damian Lillard has notched a measly 24.6 points per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have fallen this season to 8.7 per game. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team (14th-least in the league).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

Damian Lillard has notched a measly 24.6 points per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.2 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 11.3 clip, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have fallen this season to 8.7 per game. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are the visiting team (14th-least in the league).

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has successfully made a whopping 3.8 treys per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 mark last year. Sam Hauser has tallied 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. Sam Hauser has committed 1.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are on their home court, the other team has put up the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.4%).

Sam Hauser

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Sam Hauser has successfully made a whopping 3.8 treys per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 mark last year. Sam Hauser has tallied 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. Sam Hauser has committed 1.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are on their home court, the other team has put up the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.4%).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are on their home court, the other team has put up the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.4%). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Compared to last season's 72.6% mark, Al Horford's foul-shot effectiveness has increased this season to 100.0%. This year, the other team has attempted 20.6 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Al Horford

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are on their home court, the other team has put up the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.4%). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Compared to last season's 72.6% mark, Al Horford's foul-shot effectiveness has increased this season to 100.0%. This year, the other team has attempted 20.6 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 25.1 clip, Khris Middleton's playing time has diminished this season to 19.4 minutes per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton slots into the 85th percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Compared to last season's 25.1 clip, Khris Middleton's playing time has diminished this season to 19.4 minutes per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton slots into the 85th percentile for technical fouls, posting a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Bucks. The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk a terrific 55.5% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly higher than his 49.9 mark last season. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Kristaps Porzingis will likely see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk a terrific 55.5% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly higher than his 49.9 mark last season. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. Kristaps Porzingis will likely see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jaylen Brown has sunk a whopping 9.4 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 9.9 rate last season. Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has averaged 30.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have notched 18.7 points per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

Jaylen Brown has sunk a whopping 9.4 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 9.9 rate last season. Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has averaged 30.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have notched 18.7 points per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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