Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
TSN

Oklahoma City @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Seth Curry Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Curry
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 33.1% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 14.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense). The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Thunder have the home court advantage (8th-least in the league).

Seth Curry

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 33.1% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 14.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense). The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Thunder have the home court advantage (8th-least in the league).

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 42.0% rate, Jaden Hardy's shooting ability has been reduced this year to 36.1%. Jaden Hardy has played 11.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 15th percentile. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 33.1% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

In contrast to last year's 42.0% rate, Jaden Hardy's shooting ability has been reduced this year to 36.1%. Jaden Hardy has played 11.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 15th percentile. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 33.1% on field goal attempts (15th-weakest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
31
Best Odds
Under
-115

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 14.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense). In comparison to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has fallen this season to 7.5 free throws per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 14.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense). In comparison to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has fallen this season to 7.5 free throws per game.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 2.2 clip, Isaiah Joe's 3-point shots drained have jumped this year to 2.8 per game. Isaiah Joe has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 33.9% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, marking this as a tough matchup. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

In contrast to last year's 2.2 clip, Isaiah Joe's 3-point shots drained have jumped this year to 2.8 per game. Isaiah Joe has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 33.9% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, marking this as a tough matchup. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving has attempted a measly 7.0 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 8.3 rate last season. Kyrie Irving has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 14.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

Kyrie Irving has attempted a measly 7.0 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 8.3 rate last season. Kyrie Irving has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 14.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 12.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can produce extra chances for offense). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made just 7.1 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.8 rate last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.3
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.3

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 12.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can produce extra chances for offense). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made just 7.1 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.8 rate last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-190

In comparison to last season's 32.1% clip, Luguentz Dort's 3-point effectiveness has increased this season to 42.1%. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

In comparison to last season's 32.1% clip, Luguentz Dort's 3-point effectiveness has increased this season to 42.1%. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has attempted 7.8 shots from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 5.6 rate last year. Grant Williams has successfully made an impressive 2.4 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.4 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 24.1 clip, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this season to 28.5 minutes per game. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.5 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Grant Williams has attempted 7.8 shots from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 5.6 rate last year. Grant Williams has successfully made an impressive 2.4 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.4 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 24.1 clip, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this season to 28.5 minutes per game. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.5 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has made 66.5% of his shots from the field on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the NBA). Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Dereck Lively II has made 66.5% of his shots from the field on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the NBA). Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jalen Williams has failed to convert 7.4 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.2 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 12.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Jalen Williams has failed to convert 7.4 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.2 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 12.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 51.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 17.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing at home. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.9 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 mark last year. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (26th-most in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 51.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 17.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing at home. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.9 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 mark last year. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (26th-most in the NBA).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-114

Josh Giddey has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (20th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Josh Giddey has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (20th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Chet Holmgren has attempted 14.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Chet Holmgren has attempted 6.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (6.8). The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Chet Holmgren has attempted 14.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Chet Holmgren has attempted 6.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (6.8). The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Richaun Holmes Points Scored Props • Dallas

R. Holmes
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Richaun Holmes has sunk 62.5% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. This year, their opposition has tallied 105.3 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Richaun Holmes is expected to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Richaun Holmes

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Richaun Holmes has sunk 62.5% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 118.1 points per game at home places 6th-most in the NBA this year. This year, their opposition has tallied 105.3 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Richaun Holmes is expected to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-130

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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