LIVE 11:09 2nd Nov 23
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Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
NBALP

Memphis @ Phoenix props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Nowell Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Nowell
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Jaylen Nowell has successfully made 24.3% of his treys while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile among all players in the league. Jaylen Nowell has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (76th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a tough matchup. The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Jaylen Nowell

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Jaylen Nowell has successfully made 24.3% of his treys while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile among all players in the league. Jaylen Nowell has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (76th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a tough matchup. The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Under
-118

Kevin Durant has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last season. The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Suns check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.9
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.9

Kevin Durant has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last season. The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Suns check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Okogie Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Okogie
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.6). The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Suns check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage (14th-least in the league).

Josh Okogie

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.6). The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Suns check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage (14th-least in the league).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.3 shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 13.1 rate last year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have put up 21.0 points per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage. The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Suns are at home (30th-most in the NBA).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.3 shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 13.1 rate last year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have put up 21.0 points per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage. The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Suns are at home (30th-most in the NBA).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-123

Desmond Bane has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.9 fouls per game last season. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.8). The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns). On the road, the Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Desmond Bane has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.9 fouls per game last season. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.8). The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns). On the road, the Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 6.7 mark, Santi Aldama's shots have surged this season to 12.4 per game. Santi Aldama has attempted 5.7 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.4 rate last season. In comparison to last season's 20.9 rate, Santi Aldama's playing time has increased this season to 26.5 minutes per game. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have tallied 11.4 three-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

In contrast to last season's 6.7 mark, Santi Aldama's shots have surged this season to 12.4 per game. Santi Aldama has attempted 5.7 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.4 rate last season. In comparison to last season's 20.9 rate, Santi Aldama's playing time has increased this season to 26.5 minutes per game. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have tallied 11.4 three-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
+100

Bismack Biyombo has converted an impressive 62.9% of his shots from the field this season, significantly higher than his 56.6 mark last season. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage. The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Bismack Biyombo has converted an impressive 62.9% of his shots from the field this season, significantly higher than his 56.6 mark last season. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage. The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Grayson Allen has converted 2.1 three-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Grayson Allen has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 7.2 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a favorable matchup. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Grayson Allen has converted 2.1 three-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Grayson Allen has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 7.2 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a favorable matchup. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies).

Drew Eubanks Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Eubanks
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Drew Eubanks has sunk a terrific 100.0% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit more than his 35.4 rate last year. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies). When playing away from home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Drew Eubanks should see an increase in output for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Drew Eubanks

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Drew Eubanks has sunk a terrific 100.0% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit more than his 35.4 rate last year. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies). When playing away from home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Drew Eubanks should see an increase in output for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+104

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 6.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies). When playing away from home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jusuf Nurkic has converted a terrific 77.5% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 65.6 mark last year.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 6.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies). When playing away from home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jusuf Nurkic has converted a terrific 77.5% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 65.6 mark last year.

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 5.2 mark, Xavier Tillman's shots taken have increased this year to 8.8 per game. Xavier Tillman has successfully made a terrific 50.0% of his three-pointers this season, significantly more than his 31.3 mark last season. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have tallied 11.4 three-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage. The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Compared to last year's 5.2 mark, Xavier Tillman's shots taken have increased this year to 8.8 per game. Xavier Tillman has successfully made a terrific 50.0% of his three-pointers this season, significantly more than his 31.3 mark last season. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have tallied 11.4 three-pointers per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, resulting in a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games with the home court advantage. The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 28.1% clip, David Roddy's 3-point efficiency has regressed this year to 19.5%. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns). On the road, the Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

David Roddy

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Compared to last year's 28.1% clip, David Roddy's 3-point efficiency has regressed this year to 19.5%. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns). On the road, the Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Devin Booker measures in the 80th percentile for three-point shots sunk when playing away from home, totaling 2.0 per game this year. Devin Booker has played 31.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies). When playing away from home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Among all players in the league, Devin Booker measures in the 80th percentile for three-point shots sunk when playing away from home, totaling 2.0 per game this year. Devin Booker has played 31.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. With respect to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's fantastic 116.2 points per game on their home court rates 9th-strongest in the league this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Grizzlies). When playing away from home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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