Minnesota @ Miami Picks & Props

Jaden McDaniels has converted 63.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has sunk 45.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's made from three overall this year. In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.8 points per game without the home court advantage rates 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). This year, their opposition has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5). The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 7th-slowest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Caleb Martin has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (13th-worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup. The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 7th-slowest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 8.0 baskets per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has tallied 31.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 5.1 rate last season.

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.1 three-point shots per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have attempted 20.2 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Duncan Robinson will likely see an increase in productivity in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 97th percentile for shots from the field, posting 19.0 per game this year. Tyler Herro has made 3.1 treys per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert has played 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 82nd percentile. In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.8 points per game without the home court advantage rates 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, their opposition has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.

Naz Reid has made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Naz Reid has tallied 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season. In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.8 points per game without the home court advantage rates 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, their opposition has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Naz Reid has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field sunk, averaging an enormous 8.1 per game this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 86th percentile. In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.8 points per game without the home court advantage rates 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). This year, their opposition has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Mike Conley will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.8 points per game without the home court advantage rates 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, their opposition has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 45.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted just 21.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-least in the league).

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 90th percentile, posting a massive 21.8 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, designating this as a favorable matchup. When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.1 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.8 points per game without the home court advantage rates 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. This year, their opposition has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 6.6 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. When playing away from home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this season. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have attempted 20.2 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Kyle Anderson has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Richardson has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.