Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
TSN, NBALP, Altitude Sports

Denver @ Toronto props

Scotiabank Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-121

Jamal Murray has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year. As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 110.3 points per game away from their home court ranks 9th-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Jamal Murray has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year. As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 110.3 points per game away from their home court ranks 9th-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Dennis Schroder has attempted 12.5 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). Dennis Schroder has successfully made 89.6% of his free throws while at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Dennis Schroder has attempted 12.5 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). Dennis Schroder has successfully made 89.6% of his free throws while at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.7 treys per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.2 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (24th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.7 treys per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.2 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (24th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-107

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 86th percentile for free-throw efficiency when playing on the road with a a phenomenal 91.7% rate this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 86th percentile for free-throw efficiency when playing on the road with a a phenomenal 91.7% rate this year.

O.G. Anunoby Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Anunoby
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

Out of all players in the league, O.G. Anunoby measures in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc when playing at home, totaling 6.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, O.G. Anunoby registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). O.G. Anunoby has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

O.G. Anunoby

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Out of all players in the league, O.G. Anunoby measures in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc when playing at home, totaling 6.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, O.G. Anunoby registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). O.G. Anunoby has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has converted 57.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's converted overall this season while on the road. This matchup is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 18.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Christian Braun has converted 57.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's converted overall this season while on the road. This matchup is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 18.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Precious Achiuwa Points Scored Props • Toronto

P. Achiuwa
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Precious Achiuwa has sunk 23.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged 36.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a good matchup. The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Precious Achiuwa

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Precious Achiuwa has sunk 23.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged 36.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a good matchup. The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has attempted 4.5 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.3 mark last season. Peyton Watson has been on the court for a terrific 16.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.1 minutes per game last year. This matchup is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Peyton Watson has sunk a terrific 61.1% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly more than his 45.7 mark last season.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Peyton Watson has attempted 4.5 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.3 mark last season. Peyton Watson has been on the court for a terrific 16.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.1 minutes per game last year. This matchup is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Peyton Watson has sunk a terrific 61.1% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly more than his 45.7 mark last season.

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has successfully made just 55.1% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 62.7 rate last season. Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 110.3 points per game away from their home court ranks 9th-fewest in the NBA this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Nikola Jokic has successfully made just 55.1% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 62.7 rate last season. Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 110.3 points per game away from their home court ranks 9th-fewest in the NBA this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 5.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). Gary Trent Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 5.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). Gary Trent Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-145

Jakob Poeltl has converted an impressive 74.3% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 62.5 mark last season. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 11.8 field goals per game (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). Jakob Poeltl is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Jakob Poeltl has converted an impressive 74.3% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 62.5 mark last season. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 11.8 field goals per game (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense). Jakob Poeltl is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, identifying this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, identifying this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Toronto

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam measures in the 92nd percentile for field goals hit, totaling an enormous 8.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (26th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a good matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam measures in the 92nd percentile for field goals hit, totaling an enormous 8.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (26th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a good matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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