Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
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Atlanta @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-125

Trae Young has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this season. In terms of shooting, the Hawks's subpar 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets). The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are on their home court (14th-least in the league).

Trae Young

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Trae Young has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this season. In terms of shooting, the Hawks's subpar 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets). The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are on their home court (14th-least in the league).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-119

Clint Capela has sunk 0.0% of his treys since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league. Clint Capela has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of shooting, the Hawks's subpar 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets). Clint Capela will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

Clint Capela

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Clint Capela has sunk 0.0% of his treys since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league. Clint Capela has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of shooting, the Hawks's subpar 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets). Clint Capela will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jeff Green has converted 72.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Jeff Green comes in at the 25th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 1.4 fouls per game this year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. This year when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 36.0% on three-pointers (10th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Jeff Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Jeff Green has converted 72.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Jeff Green comes in at the 25th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 1.4 fouls per game this year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. This year when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 36.0% on three-pointers (10th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-112

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 16th percentile for scoring prowess with a an unimpressive 38.1% rate this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the league).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 16th percentile for scoring prowess with a an unimpressive 38.1% rate this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the league).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 43.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Dillon Brooks has tallied 30.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on shots from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 43.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league. Dillon Brooks has tallied 30.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on shots from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Dejounte Murray has attempted 17.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray registers in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing away from home, logging 6.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.6 minutes per game while on the road this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Dejounte Murray has attempted 17.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray registers in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing away from home, logging 6.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.6 minutes per game while on the road this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

The number of points put up against Clint Capela has been remarkably low (14.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

The number of points put up against Clint Capela has been remarkably low (14.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-127
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-127
Projection Rating

In terms of shooting, the Hawks's subpar 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets). Saddiq Bey should suffer a reduction in production across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

In terms of shooting, the Hawks's subpar 46.2% field goal rate measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets). Saddiq Bey should suffer a reduction in production across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-123

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green registers in the 86th percentile for three-point attempts when playing at home, averaging 5.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.1 minutes per game while at home this year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Jalen Green has successfully made 95.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green registers in the 86th percentile for three-point attempts when playing at home, averaging 5.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.1 minutes per game while at home this year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Jalen Green has successfully made 95.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-106

De'Andre Hunter has posted 18.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.5 higher than he's posted overall this season. De'Andre Hunter has tallied 30.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Rockets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

De'Andre Hunter has posted 18.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.5 higher than he's posted overall this season. De'Andre Hunter has tallied 30.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Rockets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 67.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 15.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing at home. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have logged 21.1 points per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 67.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 15.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing at home. The Rockets rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 11 games as the home team. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have logged 21.1 points per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a favorable matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has made 58.5% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Rockets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Onyeka Okongwu has made 58.5% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Rockets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-130

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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