Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCSCA, NBCSB, NBATV

Boston @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-129
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-129
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

When it comes to threes, the Boston Celtics's feeble 32.0% rate of made threes away from home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. Sam Hauser has attempted 0.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA). Sam Hauser figures to see a decline in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

When it comes to threes, the Boston Celtics's feeble 32.0% rate of made threes away from home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. Sam Hauser has attempted 0.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the NBA). Sam Hauser figures to see a decline in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year. When it comes to threes, the Boston Celtics's feeble 32.0% rate of made threes away from home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. Jaylen Brown figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year. When it comes to threes, the Boston Celtics's feeble 32.0% rate of made threes away from home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. Jaylen Brown figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.3
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.3
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.3
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.3

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-121
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-121
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game at home this year. The matchup with Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a mere 12.6 points per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game at home this year. The matchup with Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a mere 12.6 points per game this year. The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has converted 57.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 18.2% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. In contrast to last season's 12.1 rate, Payton Pritchard's playing time has increased this season to 20.0 minutes per game. Payton Pritchard has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Payton Pritchard has converted 57.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 18.2% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. In contrast to last season's 12.1 rate, Payton Pritchard's playing time has increased this season to 20.0 minutes per game. Payton Pritchard has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has successfully made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made from three in all games this season while on his home court. The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. This year, the other team has totaled 109.4 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year. Among all players in the league, Malik Monk registers in the 83rd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness on his home court with a a phenomenal 91.7% rate this year.

Malik Monk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Malik Monk has successfully made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made from three in all games this season while on his home court. The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. This year, the other team has totaled 109.4 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year. Among all players in the league, Malik Monk registers in the 83rd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness on his home court with a a phenomenal 91.7% rate this year.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. This year, the other team has totaled 109.4 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.0 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA). Trey Lyles should see an increase in performance in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. This year, the other team has totaled 109.4 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.0 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA). Trey Lyles should see an increase in performance in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year. When it comes to threes, the Boston Celtics's feeble 32.0% rate of made threes away from home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year. This year, opposing squads have shot 48.9% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup. When facing opposing starting Cs, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 10th percentile with just 1.1 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year. When it comes to threes, the Boston Celtics's feeble 32.0% rate of made threes away from home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year. This year, opposing squads have shot 48.9% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup. When facing opposing starting Cs, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 10th percentile with just 1.1 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Derrick White has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Derrick White has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Derrick White

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Derrick White has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Derrick White has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Neemias Queta Points Scored Props • Boston

N. Queta
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Neemias Queta

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter has successfully made 50.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing at home. Kevin Huerter has attempted 6.0 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year. Kevin Huerter will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Kevin Huerter has successfully made 50.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.2% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing at home. Kevin Huerter has attempted 6.0 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year. Kevin Huerter will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has converted 48.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Harrison Barnes has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 6.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, identifying this as a good matchup.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Harrison Barnes has converted 48.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Harrison Barnes has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Kings have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 6.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, identifying this as a good matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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