BK 4.5 o213.5
PHI -4.5 u213.5
BOS -16.0 o238.5
WAS 16.0 u238.5
GS -10.0 o222.0
NO 10.0 u222.0
POR 12.5 o225.0
HOU -12.5 u225.0
IND 5.5 o237.5
MIL -5.5 u237.5
ATL -1.5 o247.0
CHI 1.5 u247.0
DAL 3.5 o225.0
DEN -3.5 u225.0
SAC -3.5 o221.5
LAC 3.5 u221.5
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
BSN, NBALP

Indiana @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Bismack Biyombo rates in the 7th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing at home, totaling 0.0 per game this year. Relative to last year's 1.9 rate, Bismack Biyombo's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.1. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Grizzlies rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bismack Biyombo has converted 48.3% of his foul shot attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Bismack Biyombo rates in the 7th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing at home, totaling 0.0 per game this year. Relative to last year's 1.9 rate, Bismack Biyombo's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.1. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Grizzlies rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bismack Biyombo has converted 48.3% of his foul shot attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Under
-111

Buddy Hield has attempted a mere 10.7 shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 13.0 rate last year. Relative to last year's 8.5 mark, Buddy Hield's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this year to 7.3 per game. Buddy Hield has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup against Memphis is a hard one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (9.9). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Buddy Hield

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Buddy Hield has attempted a mere 10.7 shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 13.0 rate last year. Relative to last year's 8.5 mark, Buddy Hield's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this year to 7.3 per game. Buddy Hield has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup against Memphis is a hard one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (9.9). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.2
Best Odds
Under
+114

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Grizzlies rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Indiana Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (8th-least in the NBA).

Ja Morant

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.2
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.2

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Grizzlies rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Indiana Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (8th-least in the NBA).

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-111

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Tyrese Haliburton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Tyrese Haliburton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • Indiana

O. Toppin
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-112

Obi Toppin has sunk 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.6 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the league).

Obi Toppin

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Obi Toppin has sunk 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.6 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the league).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Brown
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Grizzlies are at home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.8). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Grizzlies are at home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.8). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

In contrast to last season's 16.5 rate, Desmond Bane's shots have risen this season to 19.4 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane rates in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 8.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have logged 19.0 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

In contrast to last season's 16.5 rate, Desmond Bane's shots have risen this season to 19.4 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane rates in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 8.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have logged 19.0 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has converted 53.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pacers). While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Santi Aldama is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Santi Aldama has converted 53.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pacers). While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Santi Aldama is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner measures in the 80th percentile, posting a massive 15.9 points per game without the home court advantage this year. Myles Turner has converted 39.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 13.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year while on the road. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Myles Turner

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner measures in the 80th percentile, posting a massive 15.9 points per game without the home court advantage this year. Myles Turner has converted 39.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 13.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year while on the road. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pacers). While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pacers). While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year. This matchup is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, their opposition has totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.8). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has attempted 27.0 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, easily managing to get to the foul line. Aaron Nesmith should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year. This matchup is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, their opposition has totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (14.8). The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has attempted 27.0 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, easily managing to get to the foul line. Aaron Nesmith should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jaren Jackson Jr. has put up 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pacers). While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Jaren Jackson Jr. has put up 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pacers). While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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