Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN, NBALP, KTLA

LA @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Theis Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

D. Theis
power forward PF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Daniel Theis has made 100.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage. This year, opposing teams have shot 44.0% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Daniel Theis has made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Daniel Theis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Daniel Theis has made 100.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage. This year, opposing teams have shot 44.0% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Daniel Theis has made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Amir Coffey Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

A. Coffey
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Amir Coffey slots into the 7th percentile for scoring ability with a an unimpressive 32.3% rate this year. Amir Coffey has played 11.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 17th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA. Amir Coffey has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (25.5%).

Amir Coffey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Among all players in the league, Amir Coffey slots into the 7th percentile for scoring ability with a an unimpressive 32.3% rate this year. Amir Coffey has played 11.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 17th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA. Amir Coffey has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (25.5%).

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.3%). The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. This year, their opposition has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). Kawhi Leonard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.3%). The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. This year, their opposition has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). Kawhi Leonard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. This year, their opposition has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). James Harden will likely experience a decrease in output in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

James Harden

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. This year, their opposition has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). James Harden will likely experience a decrease in output in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Norman Powell has totaled 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's totaled over the course of the season. This year, opposing teams have shot 44.0% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Norman Powell has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Norman Powell

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Norman Powell has totaled 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's totaled over the course of the season. This year, opposing teams have shot 44.0% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Norman Powell has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.8 fouls per game away from home this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.3%). The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. This year, their opposition has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

Paul George

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.8 fouls per game away from home this year. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.3%). The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year. This year, their opposition has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.1
Best Odds
Under
-112

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile). This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have registered 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Clippers, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.1
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile). This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have registered 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Clippers, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-123

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 45.6% on field goals (24th-best in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, creating a strong matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 45.6% on field goals (24th-best in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, creating a strong matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-103

Ivica Zubac has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road. This year, opposing teams have shot 44.0% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 4.4 foul shots per game (93rd percentile).

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Ivica Zubac has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road. This year, opposing teams have shot 44.0% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Chet Holmgren is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 4.4 foul shots per game (93rd percentile).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
+100

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 84th percentile for field goals drained on his home court, tallying a whopping 6.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.2 minutes per game while at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. In contrast to last year's 2.1 mark, Jalen Williams's foul shots sunk have spiked this year to 3.2 per game.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 84th percentile for field goals drained on his home court, tallying a whopping 6.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.2 minutes per game while at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. In contrast to last year's 2.1 mark, Jalen Williams's foul shots sunk have spiked this year to 3.2 per game.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-113

Chet Holmgren has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing at home. Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player production across the board.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Chet Holmgren has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing at home. Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player production across the board.

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Terance Mann has made 4.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.1%). The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Terance Mann has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 30.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Terance Mann

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Terance Mann has made 4.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.1%). The Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Terance Mann has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 30.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe registers in the 88th percentile for three-point shots sunk, putting up 2.4 per game this year. Isaiah Joe has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for field goals; opposing clubs have shot for the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.3%). The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe registers in the 88th percentile for three-point shots sunk, putting up 2.4 per game this year. Isaiah Joe has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for field goals; opposing clubs have shot for the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.3%). The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+102

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 75th percentile for 3-pointers hit, averaging 1.7 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. Luguentz Dort has converted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 75th percentile for 3-pointers hit, averaging 1.7 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court. Luguentz Dort has converted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all stat categories.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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