Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Final Nov 21
ORL 119 5.0 o216.0
LAL 118 -5.0 u216.0
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
ABC, ESPN, Sportsnet

Golden State @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-125

Klay Thompson has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Klay Thompson has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup. The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 71.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 89th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a great 43.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.5 minutes per game while at home this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 71.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 89th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a great 43.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.5 minutes per game while at home this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Compared to last year's 10.2 mark, Stephen Curry's field goals scored have tailed off this year to 8.9 per game. The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

Compared to last year's 10.2 mark, Stephen Curry's field goals scored have tailed off this year to 8.9 per game. The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%). The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-117

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (97th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.3 free throws per game rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (97th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.3 free throws per game rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.0). The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.0). The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-103

Brandin Podziemski has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (85th percentile). The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Brandin Podziemski has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (85th percentile). The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.3 free throws per game rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.3 free throws per game rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Under
-112

In comparison to last year's 32.3% clip, Aaron Gordon's 3-point efficiency has declined this year to 21.4%. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.3 free throws per game rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

In comparison to last year's 32.3% clip, Aaron Gordon's 3-point efficiency has declined this year to 21.4%. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.3 free throws per game rates 4th-worst in the league this year.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has converted an impressive 3.2 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.8 rate last year. Compared to last season's 15.0 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has risen this season to 20.1 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense). Christian Braun has made 90.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 15.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Christian Braun has converted an impressive 3.2 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.8 rate last year. Compared to last season's 15.0 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has risen this season to 20.1 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense). Christian Braun has made 90.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 15.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jonathan Kuminga has made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.5% more than he's made overall this season. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 23.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the year on the road. Jonathan Kuminga has been on the court for 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 3.6 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.9 rate last year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jonathan Kuminga has made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.5% more than he's made overall this season. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 23.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the year on the road. Jonathan Kuminga has been on the court for 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 3.6 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.9 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 53.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 53.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.1% higher than he's made overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) vs. the Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has sunk 63.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 37.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense). Peyton Watson has sunk a whopping 57.3% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 45.7 rate last year. Peyton Watson should get a boost in production across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Peyton Watson has sunk 63.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 37.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense). Peyton Watson has sunk a whopping 57.3% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 45.7 rate last year. Peyton Watson should get a boost in production across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shots from the field (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.6

Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shots from the field (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has converted 61.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.0). The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Trayce Jackson-Davis has converted 61.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point shots; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.0). The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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