Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
BSN, NBATV

Milwaukee @ Cleveland props

Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Cleveland

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Caris LeVert has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 10.2 mark last season. Caris LeVert has successfully made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. This matchup is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team (30.8). The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Caris LeVert has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 10.2 mark last season. Caris LeVert has successfully made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. This matchup is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team (30.8). The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Under
+105

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.1% on shot attempts from the field (12th-worst in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have brought down 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense). Giannis Antetokounmpo ought to experience a decrease in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.1% on shot attempts from the field (12th-worst in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have brought down 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense). Giannis Antetokounmpo ought to experience a decrease in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-117

The Cavaliers rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The Cavaliers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

The Cavaliers rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The Cavaliers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point shots drained, tallying 2.9 per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Malik Beasley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots away from home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the league, Malik Beasley lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point shots drained, tallying 2.9 per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Malik Beasley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots away from home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-114

Khris Middleton has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have brought down 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

Khris Middleton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Khris Middleton has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have brought down 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton lands in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 33.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton lands in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying just 1.2 fouls per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 33.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has converted 57.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 33.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Bobby Portis has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Bobby Portis has converted 57.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 33.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Bobby Portis has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
+104

Brook Lopez has converted 48.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage. Brook Lopez has averaged 29.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 33.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The matchup with Jarrett Allen lands in just the 86th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs hitting a whopping 60.4% of their shots from the field this year when they are on the away squad.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Brook Lopez has converted 48.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage. Brook Lopez has averaged 29.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 33.3 3-point attempts per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The matchup with Jarrett Allen lands in just the 86th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs hitting a whopping 60.4% of their shots from the field this year when they are on the away squad.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jarrett Allen has attempted 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (11.5 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jarrett Allen has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Jarrett Allen has attempted 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (11.5 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Jarrett Allen has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.4%). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Damian Lillard has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 127.2 points per game comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.4%). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Dean Wade Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Wade
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Dean Wade has sunk 57.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 6.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season with the home court advantage. Dean Wade has successfully made 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this season on his home court. Dean Wade has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's played over the course of the season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

Dean Wade

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Dean Wade has sunk 57.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 6.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season with the home court advantage. Dean Wade has successfully made 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this season on his home court. Dean Wade has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's played over the course of the season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile for shots taken, registering 21.3 per game this year. Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.0 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Donovan Mitchell has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7). The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.7
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile for shots taken, registering 21.3 per game this year. Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.0 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Donovan Mitchell has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7). The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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