Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Los Angeles 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN, SPECSN, NBALP

Los Angeles @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-106

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (15th-worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (10th-least in the league).

LeBron James

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (15th-worst in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (10th-least in the league).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid registers in the 78th percentile for three-point shots converted when playing at home, putting up 1.9 per game this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Naz Reid has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are on the road (least in the NBA).

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid registers in the 78th percentile for three-point shots converted when playing at home, putting up 1.9 per game this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Naz Reid has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are on the road (least in the NBA).

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-104

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Anthony Davis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Anthony Davis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 52.6% rate, Jarred Vanderbilt's shooting performance has fallen this year to 27.8%. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jarred Vanderbilt

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4

Compared to last year's 52.6% rate, Jarred Vanderbilt's shooting performance has fallen this year to 27.8%. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 53.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.3 more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Mike Conley has successfully made 53.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.3 more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-136
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-136
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 0.0% of his treys this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) against the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. Anthony Davis is a hard one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 3.0 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Rudy Gobert has sunk 0.0% of his treys this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) against the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. Anthony Davis is a hard one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 3.0 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has been called for a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Kyle Anderson has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are on the road (least in the NBA).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Kyle Anderson has been called for a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Kyle Anderson has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are on the road (least in the NBA).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

T. Prince
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince registers in the 84th percentile for three-point shots made, registering 2.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.4 minutes per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Lakers's remarkable 119.2 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. Taurean Prince has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.6% more than he's converted overall this year.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Among all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince registers in the 84th percentile for three-point shots made, registering 2.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.4 minutes per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Lakers's remarkable 119.2 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. Taurean Prince has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.6% more than he's converted overall this year.

Cam Reddish Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

C. Reddish
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Cam Reddish places in the 15th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an unimpressive 36.5% rate this year. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Cam Reddish

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Among all players in the NBA, Cam Reddish places in the 15th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an unimpressive 36.5% rate this year. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 56.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 56.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Rui Hachimura has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Rui Hachimura has attempted 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. As it relates to offense, the Lakers's remarkable 119.2 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (107.4). The 3rd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Rui Hachimura has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Rui Hachimura has attempted 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. As it relates to offense, the Lakers's remarkable 119.2 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (107.4). The 3rd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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