GS -4.0 o222.0
LAC 4.0 u222.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
BSN, NBCSCA

Sacramento @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-112

The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one; when the Kings are the visiting team, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Ja Morant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one; when the Kings are the visiting team, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Under
-121

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. De'Aaron Fox will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. De'Aaron Fox will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-124

Harrison Barnes has played 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.2 fouls per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a strong one; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Harrison Barnes has played 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.2 fouls per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a strong one; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 81st percentile. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year has been the Grizzlies. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 81st percentile. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year has been the Grizzlies. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Bismack Biyombo places in the 8th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc playing at home, totaling 0.0 per game this year. Compared to last year's 1.9 mark, Bismack Biyombo's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.9. This matchup is a favorable one for scoring; their opposition has put up the 8th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.7%). The faceoff with Domantas Sabonis registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a mere 10.6 points per game this year when they are on their home court. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.4

Out of all players in the league, Bismack Biyombo places in the 8th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc playing at home, totaling 0.0 per game this year. Compared to last year's 1.9 mark, Bismack Biyombo's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.9. This matchup is a favorable one for scoring; their opposition has put up the 8th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.7%). The faceoff with Domantas Sabonis registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a mere 10.6 points per game this year when they are on their home court. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk registers in the 90th percentile for threes converted, totaling 2.5 per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk registers in the 90th percentile for threes converted, totaling 2.5 per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Marcus Smart Points Scored Props • Memphis

M. Smart
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Marcus Smart has made 37.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year has been the Grizzlies. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a positive matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Marcus Smart

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Marcus Smart has made 37.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year has been the Grizzlies. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a positive matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 10.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's put through the net overall this season. Domantas Sabonis has converted 53.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 13.8% more than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 10.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's put through the net overall this season. Domantas Sabonis has converted 53.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 13.8% more than he's converted from three overall this year when playing away from home. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Kings's terrific 117.4 points per game measures as the 8th-best in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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