GS -4.0 o221.5
LAC 4.0 u221.5
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCS - BA, BSN

Orlando @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-114

Stephen Curry has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's been called for overall this year. With respect to offense, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate as the home team measures as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, designating this as a difficult matchup. The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Magic are on the road (13th-least in the NBA).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Stephen Curry has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's been called for overall this year. With respect to offense, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate as the home team measures as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, designating this as a difficult matchup. The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Magic are on the road (13th-least in the NBA).

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year away from home. The 7th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Magic. The Orlando Magic are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors). As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's fantastic 27.0 free throws per game rates best in the league this year.

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year away from home. The 7th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Magic. The Orlando Magic are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors). As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's fantastic 27.0 free throws per game rates best in the league this year.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against Orlando is a strong one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (18.9). The Warriors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 17 games while on their home court. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Klay Thompson has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against Orlando is a strong one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (18.9). The Warriors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 17 games while on their home court. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
+102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
+102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Dario Saric comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. With respect to offense, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate as the home team measures as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 9th-highest three rate in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (37.4%). This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 24.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (7th-most in the league).

Dario Saric

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Among all players in the league, Dario Saric comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. With respect to offense, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal rate as the home team measures as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 9th-highest three rate in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (37.4%). This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 24.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (7th-most in the league).

Goga Bitadze Points Scored Props • Orlando

G. Bitadze
center C • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Goga Bitadze has made 70.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted overall this year. The 7th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Magic. The Orlando Magic are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors). As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's fantastic 27.0 free throws per game rates best in the league this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Trayce Jackson-Davis has been remarkably high (4.8 foul shot attempts per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Goga Bitadze

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Goga Bitadze has made 70.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted overall this year. The 7th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Magic. The Orlando Magic are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors). As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's fantastic 27.0 free throws per game rates best in the league this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Trayce Jackson-Davis has been remarkably high (4.8 foul shot attempts per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (20.2). The Warriors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 17 games while on their home court. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year. The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (20.2). The Warriors have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 17 games while on their home court. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year. The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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