Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBALP

Atlanta @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The number of shot attempts from the field against Jalen Johnson has been remarkably high (15.2 per game) when guarding other starting PFs this year (100th percentile).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

The number of shot attempts from the field against Jalen Johnson has been remarkably high (15.2 per game) when guarding other starting PFs this year (100th percentile).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

The number of fouls drawn by other starting PGs vs. Tyler Herro has been remarkably low this year (2.2 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 7th percentile).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

The number of fouls drawn by other starting PGs vs. Tyler Herro has been remarkably low this year (2.2 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 7th percentile).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

The number of shots from the field against Dejounte Murray has been quite high (14.4 per game) when guarding opposing starting PGs this year (100th percentile).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

The number of shots from the field against Dejounte Murray has been quite high (14.4 per game) when guarding opposing starting PGs this year (100th percentile).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The showdown with Caleb Martin ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SGs posting a massive 18.7 points per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

The showdown with Caleb Martin ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SGs posting a massive 18.7 points per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Under
-114

The number of three-pointers drained against Jimmy Butler has been very low (1.6 per game) when facing fellow starting SFs this year (3rd percentile).

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

The number of three-pointers drained against Jimmy Butler has been very low (1.6 per game) when facing fellow starting SFs this year (3rd percentile).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The showdown with Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting SGs nailing just 1.9 three-point shots per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting SGs vs. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been remarkably low this year (2.2 free throw attempts per game: 20th percentile).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

The showdown with Bogdan Bogdanovic rates in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting SGs nailing just 1.9 three-point shots per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting SGs vs. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been remarkably low this year (2.2 free throw attempts per game: 20th percentile).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

The rate of 3-pointers sunk against Dejounte Murray has been very high (42.9%) when squaring off against fellow starting PGs this year (97th percentile).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

The rate of 3-pointers sunk against Dejounte Murray has been very high (42.9%) when squaring off against fellow starting PGs this year (97th percentile).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-106

The clash with Bam Adebayo registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs converting an enormous 65.1% of their shot attempts from the field this year when they are on the road.

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

The clash with Bam Adebayo registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs converting an enormous 65.1% of their shot attempts from the field this year when they are on the road.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

The matchup against Nikola Jovic is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Jovic is at home and squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game (14th percentile).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

The matchup against Nikola Jovic is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Jovic is at home and squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game (14th percentile).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-107

The number of 3-pointers attempted against Kyle Lowry has been quite high (7.1 per game) when squaring off against other starting PGs this year (100th percentile). The number of fouls drawn by other starting PGs against Kyle Lowry has been quite high this year (4.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are on the visiting team: 92nd percentile).

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

The number of 3-pointers attempted against Kyle Lowry has been quite high (7.1 per game) when squaring off against other starting PGs this year (100th percentile). The number of fouls drawn by other starting PGs against Kyle Lowry has been quite high this year (4.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are on the visiting team: 92nd percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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