Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBCSCA, Sportsnet, NBATV

Atlanta @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has made 44.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Trey Lyles has made 44.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Harrison Barnes has converted 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (55.3%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Harrison Barnes has converted 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (55.3%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

In comparison to last year's 5.3 mark, Keegan Murray's off-target shots have increased this year to 7.0 per game. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year. Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying a mere 20.3 foul shots per game. The matchup vs. Jalen Johnson is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when Johnson is on the road and guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game (21st percentile).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

In comparison to last year's 5.3 mark, Keegan Murray's off-target shots have increased this year to 7.0 per game. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year. Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying a mere 20.3 foul shots per game. The matchup vs. Jalen Johnson is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when Johnson is on the road and guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game (21st percentile).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Onyeka Okongwu has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 17.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year on the road. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 59.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Onyeka Okongwu has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 17.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year on the road. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

In comparison to last season's 5.6 mark, Jalen Johnson's points per game have increased this season to 15.0. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 30.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have put up the 25th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (52.6%). The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

In comparison to last season's 5.6 mark, Jalen Johnson's points per game have increased this season to 15.0. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 30.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have put up the 25th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (52.6%). The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Malik Monk has attempted 15.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Malik Monk has attempted 6.5 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Malik Monk has attempted 15.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Malik Monk has attempted 6.5 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Domantas Sabonis has made 9.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 71.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 27.5% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Domantas Sabonis has made 9.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 71.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 27.5% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-112

Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Under
-106

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. With respect to scoring, the Hawks's unimpressive 42.9% field goal percentage settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bogdan Bogdanovic is expected to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Bogdan Bogdanovic has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. With respect to scoring, the Hawks's unimpressive 42.9% field goal percentage settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bogdan Bogdanovic is expected to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-115

Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying a mere 20.3 foul shots per game. The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the NBA).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 20 games, tallying a mere 20.3 foul shots per game. The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Dejounte Murray has successfully made 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year without the home court advantage. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 34.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Dejounte Murray has successfully made 10.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year without the home court advantage. Out of all players in the NBA, Dejounte Murray lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 34.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-111

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Huerter has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Huerter has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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