LIVE 01:44 4th Oct 6
DEN 98 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
NY -2.5 o216.5
CHA 2.5 u216.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 2.5 o218.5
DET -2.5 u218.5
PHO 2.5 o221.0
LAL -2.5 u221.0
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
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Portland @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has converted 70.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 20.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has shot 33.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Trail Blazers, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Isaiah Joe has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's converted overall this season.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Isaiah Joe has converted 70.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 20.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has shot 33.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Trail Blazers, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Isaiah Joe has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's converted overall this season.

Jabari Walker Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Walker
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Jabari Walker has made 53.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 24.8% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Jabari Walker has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Thunder). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Jabari Walker has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Jabari Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Jabari Walker has made 53.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 24.8% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Jabari Walker has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Thunder). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Jabari Walker has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted and missed 7.0 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.7 rate last season. Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. With the home court advantage, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted and missed 7.0 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.7 rate last season. Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. With the home court advantage, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has shot 33.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Trail Blazers, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Cason Wallace has converted 83.3% of his free throws this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Cason Wallace will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has shot 33.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Trail Blazers, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Cason Wallace has converted 83.3% of his free throws this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA. Cason Wallace will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant has attempted 18.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Thunder). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Jerami Grant has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on the road.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Jerami Grant has attempted 18.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Thunder). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Jerami Grant has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on the road.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-104

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (12th-worst in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. Away from their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Portland may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road (11th-least in the NBA).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (12th-worst in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. Away from their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Portland may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road (11th-least in the NBA).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Chet Holmgren has registered 17.3 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 85th percentile. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 85th percentile for shooting efficiency with a a very good 55.1% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Chet Holmgren has registered 17.3 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 85th percentile. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 85th percentile for shooting efficiency with a a very good 55.1% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has notched 31.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 82nd percentile for scoring proficiency at home with a a remarkable 54.9% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (51.5%).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.5
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.5

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has notched 31.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 82nd percentile for scoring proficiency at home with a a remarkable 54.9% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (51.5%).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons lands in the 98th percentile for threes hit, logging 3.3 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 30.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Thunder). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Out of all players in the league, Anfernee Simons lands in the 98th percentile for threes hit, logging 3.3 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 30.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Thunder). The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 6th percentile for shot attempts from downtown on the road, putting up 0.0 per game this year. The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup with Chet Holmgren slots into the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs logging just 13.5 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. With the home court advantage, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton figures to see a decline in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 6th percentile for shot attempts from downtown on the road, putting up 0.0 per game this year. The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup with Chet Holmgren slots into the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs logging just 13.5 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. With the home court advantage, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton figures to see a decline in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Josh Giddey has sunk 63.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made in all games this season playing at home. Josh Giddey has attempted 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the league).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Josh Giddey has sunk 63.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made in all games this season playing at home. Josh Giddey has attempted 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the league).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against Portland is a challenging one; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. Away from their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has made just 1.8 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 2.7 rate last season.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against Portland is a challenging one; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year. Away from their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has made just 1.8 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 2.7 rate last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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