Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP

Memphis @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson measures in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 4.3 field goals per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a hard matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Richardson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson measures in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 4.3 field goals per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a hard matchup. The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

David Roddy has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA). David Roddy is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this game.

David Roddy

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

David Roddy has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA). David Roddy is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has made 50.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Caleb Martin has made 50.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

John Konchar Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Konchar
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, John Konchar measures in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 1.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

John Konchar

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Out of all players in the NBA, John Konchar measures in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 1.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has attempted 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Kevin Love

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Kevin Love has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has attempted 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman has attempted 9.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Xavier Tillman has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's played in all games this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Xavier Tillman has attempted 9.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Xavier Tillman has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's played in all games this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 18.3 per game this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 7.7 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 18.3 per game this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 7.7 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has made 2.9 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Duncan Robinson has made 2.9 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
+102

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (78th percentile). The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot 37.4% on threes (3rd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Vince Williams Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (78th percentile). The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot 37.4% on threes (3rd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Vince Williams Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-103

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (86th percentile). The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0). The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (86th percentile). The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0). The 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's converted overall this year. Jimmy Butler has made 60.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 21.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's converted overall this year. Jimmy Butler has made 60.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 21.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.9 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.9 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 2.9 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.7 rate last year. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 2.9 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.7 rate last year. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. In regard to three-pointers, the Heat's remarkable 40.4% rate of successful threes playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Jacob Gilyard Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Gilyard
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

Jacob Gilyard has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (15th percentile). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jacob Gilyard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Jacob Gilyard has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (15th percentile). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has logged 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.6 higher than he's logged over the course of the year on the road. Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Jaren Jackson Jr. has logged 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.6 higher than he's logged over the course of the year on the road. Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA away from home this year. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-128

Luke Kennard has sunk 58.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.0% higher than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage. Luke Kennard has converted 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing away from home. Luke Kennard has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard slots into the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.0 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Luke Kennard

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Luke Kennard has sunk 58.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.0% higher than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage. Luke Kennard has converted 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing away from home. Luke Kennard has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard slots into the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.0 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

GG Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

G. Jackson
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.56
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-122
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
14.56
Best Odds
Over
-122
Under
+100

GG Jackson has gone over 10.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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