Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
AZ Family, ABC, BSN

Phoenix @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Kevin Durant has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. The Phoenix Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

Kevin Durant has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. The Phoenix Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Suns are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.9). The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Grant Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Suns are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.9). The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-132

Grayson Allen has sunk 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Grayson Allen has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this season away from his home court. The matchup vs. Dallas may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (23rd-most in the NBA).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Grayson Allen has sunk 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Grayson Allen has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this season away from his home court. The matchup vs. Dallas may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (23rd-most in the NBA).

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 67.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 75.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 48.6% more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 3.3 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Dereck Lively II has been quite high this year (4.0 foul shot attempts per game when they are away from home: 97th percentile).

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 67.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 75.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 48.6% more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 3.3 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Dereck Lively II has been quite high this year (4.0 foul shot attempts per game when they are away from home: 97th percentile).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has converted 68.8% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. The rate of 3-point shots scored against Jusuf Nurkic has been quite high (44.7%) when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Dereck Lively II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 39.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Dereck Lively II has converted 68.8% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. The rate of 3-point shots scored against Jusuf Nurkic has been quite high (44.7%) when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Dereck Lively II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 39.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-108

Devin Booker has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. The Phoenix Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Devin Booker has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. The Phoenix Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-118

Kyrie Irving has posted 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.9 more than he's posted in all games this season at home. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Kyrie Irving will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise player production for all stats.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Kyrie Irving has posted 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.9 more than he's posted in all games this season at home. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Kyrie Irving will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise player production for all stats.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.6 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Eric Gordon has played 30.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Eric Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Eric Gordon

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.6 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Eric Gordon has played 30.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. Eric Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
37.5
Points Scored
Projection
36.6
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
37.5 Points Scored
Projection
36.6
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (99th percentile). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one; when the Suns are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2). The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 37.5 Points Scored
Projection: 36.6
Prop:
37.5 Points Scored
Projection:
36.6

Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (99th percentile). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one; when the Suns are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2). The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 58.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 11.3% more than he's made in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have posted the 23rd-highest three percentage in the league this year (41.1%). Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 58.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 11.3% more than he's made in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have posted the 23rd-highest three percentage in the league this year (41.1%). Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal rates in the 88th percentile for field goals hit, totaling a massive 7.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal places in the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Bradley Beal

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal rates in the 88th percentile for field goals hit, totaling a massive 7.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal places in the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. With respect to scoring, the Suns's fantastic 123.4 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 10.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 45.9% on field goals (4th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Suns, resulting in a challenging matchup. Compared to last year's 77.0% clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s foul-shot ability has risen this year to 88.6%.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 10.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 45.9% on field goals (4th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Suns, resulting in a challenging matchup. Compared to last year's 77.0% clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s foul-shot ability has risen this year to 88.6%.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-132

Josh Green has converted 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season. Josh Green has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game this year when the Suns are on the road (29th-most in the NBA). Josh Green figures to see a spike in production across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Josh Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Josh Green has converted 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season. Josh Green has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game this year when the Suns are on the road (29th-most in the NBA). Josh Green figures to see a spike in production across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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