Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Final Nov 21
ORL 119 5.0 o216.0
LAL 118 -5.0 u216.0
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
NBATV, TSN

Dallas @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has successfully made 61.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Dante Exum has made 63.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 19.1% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Dante Exum has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 9.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Dante Exum

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Dante Exum has successfully made 61.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Dante Exum has made 63.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 19.1% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Dante Exum has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 9.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has made 39.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Grant Williams has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, the other team has come down with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense). Grant Williams stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Grant Williams has made 39.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Grant Williams has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, the other team has come down with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense). Grant Williams stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 52.5% of his field goal attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have shot 35.5% on threes (6th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 52.5% of his field goal attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have shot 35.5% on threes (6th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. In contrast to last season's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this season to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. In contrast to last season's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this season to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Josh Green has sunk 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made over the course of the year. Josh Green has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Josh Green has sunk 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made over the course of the year. Josh Green has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Trae Young has scored 25.0 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric. Trae Young has attempted 9.0 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.5 mark last season. Trae Young has tallied 36.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.4). The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Trae Young has scored 25.0 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric. Trae Young has attempted 9.0 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.5 mark last season. Trae Young has tallied 36.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.4). The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
37.5
Points Scored
Projection
36.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
37.5 Points Scored
Projection
36.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, the other team has come down with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense). Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.9 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 rate last year. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league). Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance across the board.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 37.5 Points Scored
Projection: 36.1
Prop:
37.5 Points Scored
Projection:
36.1

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, the other team has come down with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense). Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 8.9 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 rate last year. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league). Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance across the board.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Over
-106

Kyrie Irving has attempted 23.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a good matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

Kyrie Irving has attempted 23.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a good matchup.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 14.0 shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 11.1 rate last season. In contrast to last season's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 8.4 per game. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have shot 35.5% on threes (6th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 14.0 shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 11.1 rate last season. In contrast to last season's 6.6 mark, Bogdan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 8.4 per game. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have shot 35.5% on threes (6th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

With respect to three-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's unimpressive 33.1% rate of converted threes places worst in the league over the last 15 games. This year, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

With respect to three-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's unimpressive 33.1% rate of converted threes places worst in the league over the last 15 games. This year, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Dejounte Murray has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The faceoff with Josh Green ranks in only the 83rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SGs converting an enormous 46.8% of their shots from the field this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

Dejounte Murray has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Dejounte Murray has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The faceoff with Josh Green ranks in only the 83rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SGs converting an enormous 46.8% of their shots from the field this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 5.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the year away from home. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks. Dereck Lively II has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 39.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 5.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the year away from home. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks. Dereck Lively II has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 39.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.0 threes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey places in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.0 threes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Saddiq Bey places in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.0% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Relative to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have risen this season to 4.0 per game. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.0% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Relative to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have risen this season to 4.0 per game. The Mavericks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-132

While on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs, Dereck Lively II slots into the 90th percentile with a whopping 2.6 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Clint Capela will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

While on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs, Dereck Lively II slots into the 90th percentile with a whopping 2.6 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hawks. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Clint Capela will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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