Phoenix @ Miami Picks & Props

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 88th percentile for field goal attempts at home, tallying 14.5 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier lands in the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown on his home court, averaging 6.5 per game this year. Terry Rozier has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).

The Phoenix Suns will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat). The Phoenix Suns check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Devin Booker will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production across the board.

Bradley Beal has successfully made 6.9 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.7 minutes per game this year. The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.3 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (retaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Jusuf Nurkic has been very low this year (2.8 free throws per game: 17th percentile).

The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (29th-most in the league). Haywood Highsmith will likely see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 20.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have shot 46.2% on field goals (4th-weakest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a hard matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Grayson Allen has sunk 72.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 20.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Grayson Allen has converted 57.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 8.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Grayson Allen has played 32.9 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Kevin Durant has attempted 6.5 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year. The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.5 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Eric Gordon has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 79th percentile. Eric Gordon has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 lower than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (retaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (retaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense). The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (11th-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). Tyler Herro has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.5% more than he's made in all games this season.

Jusuf Nurkic has made 58.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 9.6% more than he's made overall this year. Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 25.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home. The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns. While playing at home, the Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 8.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.