Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN

Dallas @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Richaun Holmes Points Scored Props • Dallas

R. Holmes
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Richaun Holmes has been on the court for 12.4 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Relative to last season's 77.5% clip, Richaun Holmes's free-throw efficiency has been reduced this season to 47.6%.

Richaun Holmes

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.3

Richaun Holmes has been on the court for 12.4 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Relative to last season's 77.5% clip, Richaun Holmes's free-throw efficiency has been reduced this season to 47.6%.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 50.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 50.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year on his home court.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid places in the 82nd percentile for three-point performance with a an impressive 39.8% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 22.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Among all players in the league, Naz Reid places in the 82nd percentile for three-point performance with a an impressive 39.8% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 22.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Naz Reid will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Over
+105

Tim Hardaway Jr. has put up 22.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the year. In comparison to last year's 7.8 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Tim Hardaway Jr. has put up 22.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the year. In comparison to last year's 7.8 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 8.9 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Jaden Hardy has successfully made a measly 60.0% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 84.0 mark last year.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can create additional chances for offense). Jaden Hardy has successfully made a measly 60.0% of his free throws this year, significantly less than his 84.0 mark last year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-129

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 80th percentile for shooting ability with a a stellar 51.9% rate this year. Jaden McDaniels has converted 51.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 11.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 80th percentile for shooting ability with a a stellar 51.9% rate this year. Jaden McDaniels has converted 51.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 11.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Grant Williams has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Grant Williams has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.8% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Grant Williams has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Grant Williams has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.8% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley places in the 90th percentile for three-point ability while on his home court with a a very good 46.0% rate this year. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 4.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley places in the 90th percentile for three-point ability while on his home court with a a very good 46.0% rate this year. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 4.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (107.5). The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year, opposing clubs have attempted 21.5 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (107.5). The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year, opposing clubs have attempted 21.5 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+102

Rudy Gobert has converted 64.6% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Rudy Gobert has converted 64.6% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Karl-Anthony Towns has registered 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's registered in all games this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year while on his home court. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Karl-Anthony Towns has registered 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's registered in all games this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year while on his home court. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards registers in the 97th percentile, registering a colossal 25.9 points per game this year. Anthony Edwards has made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards registers in the 97th percentile, registering a colossal 25.9 points per game this year. Anthony Edwards has made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Josh Green has made 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Josh Green has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Josh Green

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Josh Green has made 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Josh Green has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-fastest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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