Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
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Orlando @ Minnesota props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs slots into the 82nd percentile for three-pointers made, averaging 2.0 per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs slots into the 82nd percentile for three-pointers made, averaging 2.0 per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 43.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 13 games at home, 12.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this season while at home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 40.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 43.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 13 games at home, 12.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this season while at home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 40.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 58.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Wendell Carter Jr. has made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's converted from three in all games this season on the road. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a positive one for three-point attempts; when Gobert is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.7 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 58.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Wendell Carter Jr. has made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's converted from three in all games this season on the road. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a positive one for three-point attempts; when Gobert is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.7 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Jonathan Isaac Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Isaac
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jonathan Isaac has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (25th percentile). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense). Jonathan Isaac has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.9% more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. This year, their opposition has attempted 21.6 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jonathan Isaac

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Jonathan Isaac has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (25th percentile). The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense). Jonathan Isaac has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.9% more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. This year, their opposition has attempted 21.6 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Under
-129

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 97th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.2 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 97th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.2 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Moritz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Wagner
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Moritz Wagner is expected to see a decline in production across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Moritz Wagner

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Moritz Wagner is expected to see a decline in production across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 91st percentile for three-point effectiveness while playing at home with a a great 47.0% rate this year. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 91st percentile for three-point effectiveness while playing at home with a a great 47.0% rate this year. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Naz Reid will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Naz Reid has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Naz Reid will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

The matchup vs. Orlando is a tough one; when the Magic are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Orlando may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are on the road (11th-least in the league).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

The matchup vs. Orlando is a tough one; when the Magic are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Orlando may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are on the road (11th-least in the league).

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-115

Franz Wagner has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense). Franz Wagner has successfully made 92.6% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Franz Wagner has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense). Franz Wagner has successfully made 92.6% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels measures in the 80th percentile for scoring prowess with a a very good 51.9% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (18.9). The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels measures in the 80th percentile for scoring prowess with a a very good 51.9% rate this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (18.9). The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Paolo Banchero has tallied 28.4 points per game over the last 15 games on the road, 3.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. Paolo Banchero has attempted 6.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.9 minutes per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Paolo Banchero has tallied 28.4 points per game over the last 15 games on the road, 3.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. Paolo Banchero has attempted 6.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.9 minutes per game this year. The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Markelle Fultz Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Fultz
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Markelle Fultz

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 95th percentile for shooting effectiveness with a a stellar 64.4% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Wendell Carter Jr. lands in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs making a massive 65.0% of their field goals this year when they are on their home court. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 95th percentile for shooting effectiveness with a a stellar 64.4% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Wendell Carter Jr. lands in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs making a massive 65.0% of their field goals this year when they are on their home court. The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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