Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
NBALP, Altitude Sports, ROOT Sports

Portland @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duop Reath Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Reath
center C • Portland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Duop Reath has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In regard to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 106.0 points per game on the road comes in as the worst in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Duop Reath ought to experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Duop Reath

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Duop Reath has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In regard to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 106.0 points per game on the road comes in as the worst in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). Duop Reath ought to experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jabari Walker Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Walker
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jabari Walker has registered 11.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.6 higher than he's registered overall this year on the road. Jabari Walker has successfully made 44.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jabari Walker has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 9.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jabari Walker

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Jabari Walker has registered 11.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 3.6 higher than he's registered overall this year on the road. Jabari Walker has successfully made 44.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jabari Walker has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 9.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 52.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.2% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Malcolm Brogdon has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 52.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.2% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Malcolm Brogdon has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In regard to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 106.0 points per game on the road comes in as the worst in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been quite low this year (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 13th percentile).

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Deandre Ayton has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In regard to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 106.0 points per game on the road comes in as the worst in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been quite low this year (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 13th percentile).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (30th-best in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a good matchup. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (30th-best in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a good matchup. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-124

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 85th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a very good 54.9% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 44.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season on his home court. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 85th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a very good 54.9% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 44.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season on his home court. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jerami Grant has attempted 14.5 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Jerami Grant has successfully made 2.1 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jerami Grant has averaged 31.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Jerami Grant has attempted 14.5 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Jerami Grant has successfully made 2.1 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jerami Grant has averaged 31.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has registered 31.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's registered in all games this season. Nikola Jokic has converted 70.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The showdown with Deandre Ayton rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs compiling an enormous 17.5 points per game this year when they are on their home court. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

Nikola Jokic has registered 31.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's registered in all games this season. Nikola Jokic has converted 70.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The showdown with Deandre Ayton rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs compiling an enormous 17.5 points per game this year when they are on their home court. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jamal Murray has successfully made 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray registers in the 89th percentile for three-pointers made, tallying 2.3 per game this year. Jamal Murray has averaged 36.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Jamal Murray has successfully made 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray registers in the 89th percentile for three-pointers made, tallying 2.3 per game this year. Jamal Murray has averaged 36.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Anfernee Simons has made 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted overall this season. Anfernee Simons has played 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Anfernee Simons has made 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted overall this season. Anfernee Simons has played 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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