Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
BSOHIO, NBCSCA

Sacramento @ Cleveland props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-108

Jarrett Allen has converted a lowly 0.0% of his three-point attempts this season, significantly less than his 10.0 rate last season. This year, the other team has shot 48.5% on shot attempts from the field (10th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a strong matchup. While away from his home court and guarding other starting Cs, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 7th percentile with just 8.4 field goal attempts against him per game this year. The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Cavaliers. As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the foul line when playing at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 19.6 foul shots per game.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Jarrett Allen has converted a lowly 0.0% of his three-point attempts this season, significantly less than his 10.0 rate last season. This year, the other team has shot 48.5% on shot attempts from the field (10th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a strong matchup. While away from his home court and guarding other starting Cs, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 7th percentile with just 8.4 field goal attempts against him per game this year. The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Cavaliers. As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the foul line when playing at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 19.6 foul shots per game.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Harrison Barnes has posted 16.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 higher than he's posted in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has attempted 7.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Harrison Barnes has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Harrison Barnes has posted 16.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 higher than he's posted in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has attempted 7.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Harrison Barnes has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Max Strus has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Max Strus has averaged a terrific 32.9 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 28.4 minutes per game last season. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.3 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Max Strus

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Max Strus has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Max Strus has averaged a terrific 32.9 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 28.4 minutes per game last season. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.3 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland places in the 88th percentile, registering a massive 19.4 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Darius Garland ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.4 minutes per game at home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

Darius Garland

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland places in the 88th percentile, registering a massive 19.4 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Darius Garland ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.4 minutes per game at home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has made 21.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% less than he's made from downtown overall this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 7 games, the other team has attempted 23.9 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line. Malik Monk ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Malik Monk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Malik Monk has made 21.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% less than he's made from downtown overall this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Kings. The Kings have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 7 games, the other team has attempted 23.9 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line. Malik Monk ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Domantas Sabonis has made 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 13.4% higher than he's made overall this year. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Jarrett Allen lands in just the 86th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a monstrous 60.8% of their field goals this year when they are on the away squad. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Domantas Sabonis has made 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 13.4% higher than he's made overall this year. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Jarrett Allen lands in just the 86th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a monstrous 60.8% of their field goals this year when they are on the away squad. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three overall this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense). Trey Lyles has made 83.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Trey Lyles has made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three overall this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense). Trey Lyles has made 83.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kevin Huerter has totaled 16.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's totaled overall this season. Kevin Huerter has made 3.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Kevin Huerter has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's played overall this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Kevin Huerter has totaled 16.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's totaled overall this season. Kevin Huerter has made 3.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Kevin Huerter has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's played overall this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Cleveland

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 10.2 rate, Caris LeVert's shots have surged this season to 13.0 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Caris LeVert measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, compiling 5.3 per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

Caris LeVert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Compared to last season's 10.2 rate, Caris LeVert's shots have surged this season to 13.0 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Caris LeVert measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, compiling 5.3 per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 9.7 rate last year. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.2 treys per game on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 9.7 rate last year. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.2 treys per game on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.8 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
center C • Cleveland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-109

Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game on his home court this year. The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Cavaliers. As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the foul line when playing at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 19.6 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).

Evan Mobley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game on his home court this year. The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Cavaliers. As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the foul line when playing at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 19.6 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Isaac Okoro has sunk 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.8% more than he's converted overall this season while on his home court. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense). Isaac Okoro will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player production for all stats.

Isaac Okoro

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Isaac Okoro has sunk 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.8% more than he's converted overall this season while on his home court. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense). Isaac Okoro will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises player production for all stats.

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Over
-114

Donovan Mitchell has registered 36.6 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.6 higher than he's registered overall this season at home. Donovan Mitchell has made 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made over the course of the season. Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Donovan Mitchell has registered 36.6 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.6 higher than he's registered overall this season at home. Donovan Mitchell has made 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made over the course of the season. Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Compared to last season's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots taken have risen this season to 20.7 per game. De'Aaron Fox has played 35.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.4%). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Compared to last season's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots taken have risen this season to 20.7 per game. De'Aaron Fox has played 35.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.4%). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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