LIVE 06:25 3rd Oct 6
NY 68 -3.5 o215.5
CHA 76 3.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.5 o216.5
DET -3.5 u216.5
PHO 2.5 o221.0
LAL -2.5 u221.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
NBALP

Golden State @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-121

The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup against Myles Turner is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.0 foul shots per game (83rd percentile).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup against Myles Turner is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.0 foul shots per game (83rd percentile).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam measures in the 95th percentile for field goals hit, registering a colossal 8.5 per game this year. Pascal Siakam has made 46.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 14.2% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. When matched up against opposing starting PFs, Jonathan Kuminga places in the 93rd percentile with a whopping 14.1 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam measures in the 95th percentile for field goals hit, registering a colossal 8.5 per game this year. Pascal Siakam has made 46.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 14.2% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. When matched up against opposing starting PFs, Jonathan Kuminga places in the 93rd percentile with a whopping 14.1 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 21.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year while at home. Andrew Nembhard will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 21.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year while at home. Andrew Nembhard will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Under
-110

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Indiana Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (14.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Pacers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (11th-least in the league).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.9
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.9

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Indiana Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (14.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Pacers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (11th-least in the league).

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+106

Aaron Nesmith has made 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Aaron Nesmith has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played in all games this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The number of threes converted against Andrew Wiggins has been remarkably high (2.1 per game) when facing fellow starting SFs this year (97th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Aaron Nesmith has made 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Aaron Nesmith has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played in all games this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The number of threes converted against Andrew Wiggins has been remarkably high (2.1 per game) when facing fellow starting SFs this year (97th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-102

The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.8 buckets per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making this a strong matchup. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (30th-most in the NBA).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.8 buckets per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making this a strong matchup. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (30th-most in the NBA).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-106

The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Jalen Smith Points Scored Props • Indiana

J. Smith
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Smith measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 74.8% rate, Jalen Smith's free-throw prowess has regressed this season to 63.9%.

Jalen Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Smith measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 74.8% rate, Jalen Smith's free-throw prowess has regressed this season to 63.9%.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Myles Turner has posted 16.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 84th percentile. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner measures in the 79th percentile for field goal efficiency with a an excellent 51.2% rate this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner registers in the 88th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a colossal 4.0 free throw attempts per game playing at home this year.

Myles Turner

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Myles Turner has posted 16.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 84th percentile. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner measures in the 79th percentile for field goal efficiency with a an excellent 51.2% rate this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner registers in the 88th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a colossal 4.0 free throw attempts per game playing at home this year.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 91st percentile, averaging a monstrous 21.5 points per game on his home court this year. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 7.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The number of points put up against Stephen Curry has been very high (22.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and matched up against opposing starting PGs this year (100th percentile).

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 91st percentile, averaging a monstrous 21.5 points per game on his home court this year. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 7.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 124.0 points per game measures as the strongest in the league this year. The number of points put up against Stephen Curry has been very high (22.7 per game) when he is away from his home court and matched up against opposing starting PGs this year (100th percentile).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-124

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.8 buckets per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making this a strong matchup. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (30th-most in the NBA).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.8 buckets per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making this a strong matchup. The Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (30th-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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