LIVE 06:59 2nd Oct 6
WAS 22 -3.5 o221.5
TOR 49 3.5 u221.5
LIVE 06:00 1st Oct 6
MIL 26 3.5 o215.5
DET 12 -3.5 u215.5
PHO 3.5 o221.0
LAL -3.5 u221.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Final Oct 6
NY 111 -3.5 o215.5
CHA 109 3.5 u215.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
TSN

Oklahoma City @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 70.7% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 45.6% on field goal attempts (2nd-worst in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a tough matchup. Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Daniel Gafford has made 70.7% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 45.6% on field goal attempts (2nd-worst in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a tough matchup. Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has converted 67.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season on the road. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 67.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 7th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.8).

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Aaron Wiggins has converted 67.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season on the road. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 67.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 7th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (31.8).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 11.0 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 11.0 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 4.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season at home. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 45.6% on field goal attempts (2nd-worst in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a tough matchup. Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Tim Hardaway Jr. has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 4.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season at home. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 45.6% on field goal attempts (2nd-worst in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a tough matchup. Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 19.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-105

Luguentz Dort has failed to make 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's missed over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile). This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a hard matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Luguentz Dort has failed to make 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's missed over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile). This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a hard matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Josh Green has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Josh Green has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. Josh Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 33.9% more than he's converted overall this season. Josh Green will likely see a spike in performance in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Josh Green has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Josh Green has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. Josh Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 33.9% more than he's converted overall this season. Josh Green will likely see a spike in performance in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Under
+105

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.4
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.4

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Williams has attempted 16.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jalen Williams has converted 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the season. Jalen Williams has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Jalen Williams has attempted 16.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jalen Williams has converted 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the season. Jalen Williams has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
33.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have risen this year to 10.5 per game. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.7 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a positive matchup. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.2 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.7
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.7

Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have risen this year to 10.5 per game. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 37.7 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a positive matchup. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.2 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. Josh Giddey has sunk 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year. Josh Giddey has sunk 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-107

Chet Holmgren has made 6.4 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.2 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Chet Holmgren has made 6.4 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.2 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 120.8 points per game places 4th-most in the NBA this year.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-140
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Maxi Kleber lands in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, totaling a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. The number of 3-pointers scored against Chet Holmgren has been quite low (0.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Among all players in the NBA, Maxi Kleber lands in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, totaling a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year. The number of 3-pointers scored against Chet Holmgren has been quite low (0.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Kyrie Irving has played 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. Kyrie Irving has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's made overall this season. Kyrie Irving will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production for all stats.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. Kyrie Irving has played 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home. Kyrie Irving has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's made overall this season. Kyrie Irving will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production for all stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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