Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
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Sacramento @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has converted 62.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Aaron Wiggins has converted 66.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Aaron Wiggins has converted 62.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 5.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Aaron Wiggins has converted 66.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kevin Huerter has made 49.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Kevin Huerter has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.5 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Kevin Huerter has made 49.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Kevin Huerter has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Kevin Huerter has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.5 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.5 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 9.7 mark last season. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.1% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.5 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 9.7 mark last season. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.1% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has made 55.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Cason Wallace has made 55.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has sunk 62.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Trey Lyles has sunk 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (107.7). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Trey Lyles has sunk 62.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Trey Lyles has sunk 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (107.7). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Josh Giddey will likely see an increase in productivity for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Josh Giddey will likely see an increase in productivity for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
+100

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has made a mere 1.6 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.7 rate last year.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has made a mere 1.6 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.7 rate last year.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Malik Monk has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's converted in all games this season. Malik Monk has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (107.7). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Malik Monk has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's converted in all games this season. Malik Monk has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (107.7). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 88th percentile for shots hit, logging a colossal 7.3 per game this year. Jalen Williams has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from three overall this year while at home. Jalen Williams has averaged 30.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (25th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 88th percentile for shots hit, logging a colossal 7.3 per game this year. Jalen Williams has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from three overall this year while at home. Jalen Williams has averaged 30.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (25th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-111

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to decrease plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 6.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). De'Aaron Fox has made just 70.7% of his free throws this year, quite a bit lower than his 78.4 mark last year.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to decrease plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 6.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). De'Aaron Fox has made just 70.7% of his free throws this year, quite a bit lower than his 78.4 mark last year.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 56.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (107.7). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 56.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This matchup is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home court advantage, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (107.7). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 64.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 25.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Kings, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive production. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.6
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.6

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 64.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 25.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Kings, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive production. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Harrison Barnes has scored 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 more than he's scored over the course of the season. Harrison Barnes has attempted 7.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Harrison Barnes has scored 18.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 more than he's scored over the course of the season. Harrison Barnes has attempted 7.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Kings check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-114

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 84th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an outstanding 54.1% rate this year. Chet Holmgren has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 84th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a an outstanding 54.1% rate this year. Chet Holmgren has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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