Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Philadelphia 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
NBCSP, BSN, NBALP

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ricky Council IV Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

R. Council IV
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Ricky Council IV has totaled 11.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's totaled over the course of the year. Ricky Council IV has converted 44.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Ricky Council IV has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Ricky Council IV

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Ricky Council IV has totaled 11.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's totaled over the course of the year. Ricky Council IV has converted 44.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Ricky Council IV has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 0.9 clip, Nikola Jovic's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 1.8. The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the 76ers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are at home (8th-least in the league).

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

In contrast to last year's 0.9 clip, Nikola Jovic's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 1.8. The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the 76ers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are at home (8th-least in the league).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Caleb Martin has successfully made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Caleb Martin has successfully made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 15.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. places in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 4.6 per game this year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 15.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. places in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 4.6 per game this year. Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

In comparison to last year's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have jumped this year to 13.2. Relative to last season's 1.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's threes drained have spiked this season to 2.8 per game. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

In comparison to last year's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have jumped this year to 13.2. Relative to last season's 1.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's threes drained have spiked this season to 2.8 per game. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Mo Bamba Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

M. Bamba
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Mo Bamba has converted 40.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have attempted 20.0 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Mo Bamba will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises player performance for all stats.

Mo Bamba

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Mo Bamba has converted 40.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have attempted 20.0 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Mo Bamba will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises player performance for all stats.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Under
-125

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 0.0% of his 3-pointers while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year. The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the 76ers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 0.0% of his 3-pointers while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year. The least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the 76ers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
-114

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

KJ Martin Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Martin
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kenyon Martin Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player production in all stat categories.

KJ Martin

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kenyon Martin Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-130

Buddy Hield has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat). Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield places in the 24th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging a measly 0.6 foul shots per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (11th-least in the NBA).

Buddy Hield

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Buddy Hield has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat). Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield places in the 24th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging a measly 0.6 foul shots per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (11th-least in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 5.0 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition has totaled the 6th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (11.7).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 5.0 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition has totaled the 6th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (11.7).

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has sunk 64.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year while on the road. Kevin Love has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition has totaled the 6th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (11.7).

Kevin Love

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Kevin Love has sunk 64.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year while on the road. Kevin Love has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition has totaled the 6th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (11.7).

Paul Reed Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. Reed
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-120

Paul Reed has sunk 4.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Paul Reed has averaged 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Paul Reed figures to see an increase in production in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Paul Reed

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Paul Reed has sunk 4.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Paul Reed has averaged 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Paul Reed figures to see an increase in production in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a positive one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have put up the 22nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.7%). Tyler Herro has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the 76ers is a positive one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have put up the 22nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.7%). Tyler Herro has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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