Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
ESPN, NBCSB

Dallas @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
+105

Josh Green has successfully made 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk overall this year. Josh Green has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Josh Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Josh Green has successfully made 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk overall this year. Josh Green has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

P.J. Washington has converted 6.8 baskets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this season away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are at home (23rd-most in the league).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

P.J. Washington has converted 6.8 baskets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this season away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are at home (23rd-most in the league).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jrue Holiday has played 32.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Jrue Holiday will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance across the board.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Jrue Holiday has played 32.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Jrue Holiday will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance across the board.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford registers in the 75th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a a very good 40.1% rate this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Al Horford will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player performance across the board.

Al Horford

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford registers in the 75th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a a very good 40.1% rate this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Al Horford will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player performance across the board.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-112

Kristaps Porzingis has put up 25.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.2 more than he's put up over the course of the season at home. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The number of threes attempted against Dereck Lively II has been very high (2.2 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Kristaps Porzingis has converted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Kristaps Porzingis has put up 25.8 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.2 more than he's put up over the course of the season at home. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The number of threes attempted against Dereck Lively II has been very high (2.2 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Kristaps Porzingis has converted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 78.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.2% more than he's sunk overall this year. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have averaged 43.8% on field goals (lowest in the league) against the Celtics, making this a tough matchup. The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.1 threes per game (83rd percentile). The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Dereck Lively II has sunk 78.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.2% more than he's sunk overall this year. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have averaged 43.8% on field goals (lowest in the league) against the Celtics, making this a tough matchup. The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.1 threes per game (83rd percentile). The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 98th percentile, posting a whopping 27.0 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 8.4 per game this year. Jayson Tatum has played 35.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 98th percentile, posting a whopping 27.0 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 8.4 per game this year. Jayson Tatum has played 35.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have snagged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). Compared to last season's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 9.3 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.5
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.5

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have snagged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (continuing possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). Compared to last season's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 9.3 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 11.9 mark last season. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have logged 108.6 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive performance. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 11.9 mark last season. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have logged 108.6 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive performance. The 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

In contrast to last season's 9.2 mark, Derrick White's field goal attempts have jumped this season to 11.6 per game. Out of all players in the league, Derrick White comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The rate of field goals scored against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (50.5%) when he is playing on the road and facing opposing starting SGs this year (90th percentile).

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

In contrast to last season's 9.2 mark, Derrick White's field goal attempts have jumped this season to 11.6 per game. Out of all players in the league, Derrick White comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The rate of field goals scored against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (50.5%) when he is playing on the road and facing opposing starting SGs this year (90th percentile).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Jaylen Brown stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's superb 123.2 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Jaylen Brown stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kyrie Irving has notched 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's notched overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has shot 32.1% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a tough matchup. The matchup against Boston is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Kyrie Irving has notched 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's notched overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 122.2 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has shot 32.1% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a tough matchup. The matchup against Boston is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Boston Celtics are at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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