Washington @ Miami props

Deni Avdija has scored 19.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 higher than he's scored overall this year. Deni Avdija has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's made over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Deni Avdija has played 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a strong matchup. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The faceoff with Jimmy Butler places in the 20th percentile with the other side's starting SFs draining just 32.5% of their treys this year. The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Washington Wizards. The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Corey Kispert should see a decline in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

Tyus Jones has made a terrific 5.0 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 3.7 mark last season. Tyus Jones has tallied 0.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Tyus Jones has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 10.1 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.1 rate last season. Duncan Robinson has played 32.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 13.6 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler has put up 21.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 92nd percentile. Jimmy Butler has converted 56.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.5% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Jimmy Butler has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (25th percentile). The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have scored 15.7 points per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Jordan Poole has attempted 18.4 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jordan Poole has attempted 9.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma rates in the 94th percentile, averaging an enormous 22.3 points per game this year. Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season without the home court advantage. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a strong matchup. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Kyle Kuzma has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance for all stats.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Relative to last year's 21.7% rate, Nikola Jovic's three-point performance has jumped this year to 40.5%. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 22.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have notched 18.6 points per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, making this a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Richaun Holmes has converted a whopping 100.0% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 62.5 mark last year. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Richaun Holmes has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 34.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Bilal Coulibaly has sunk 50.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Bilal Coulibaly has converted 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage (9th-most in the NBA).

The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 6th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.5). The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Terry Rozier will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance for all stats.