NY -2.5 o216.5
CHA 2.5 u216.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.5 o222.0
LAL -2.5 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCSCA, BSN, NBALP, NBATV Canada

Milwaukee @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Jae Crowder has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Jae Crowder

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Jae Crowder has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Under
+118

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (89th percentile). The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.9 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a tough matchup.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (89th percentile). The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.9 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a tough matchup.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.6

The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-120

In contrast to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from downtown have fallen this season to 8.7 per game. The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (30.6%). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 7.2 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 9.6 rate last year. Damian Lillard stands to see a decline in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

In contrast to last season's 11.3 rate, Damian Lillard's shot attempts from downtown have fallen this season to 8.7 per game. The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (30.6%). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Damian Lillard has attempted a measly 7.2 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 9.6 rate last year. Damian Lillard stands to see a decline in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Brook Lopez has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Brook Lopez has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
+102

Compared to last season's 9.7 rate, Keegan Murray's shots have increased this season to 12.1 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.9 minutes per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 7.0 baskets per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA at home this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Compared to last season's 9.7 rate, Keegan Murray's shots have increased this season to 12.1 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.9 minutes per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 7.0 baskets per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA at home this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-122

Domantas Sabonis has made 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season playing at home. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 66.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) against the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup. While away from his home court and defending other starting Cs, Brook Lopez has been in the 100th percentile with a massive 13.2 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Domantas Sabonis has made 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season playing at home. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 66.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) against the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup. While away from his home court and defending other starting Cs, Brook Lopez has been in the 100th percentile with a massive 13.2 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

Malik Monk has successfully made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Malik Monk has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA at home this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Malik Monk has successfully made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Malik Monk has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA at home this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-124

Malik Beasley has made a terrific 42.2% of his 3-point shots this year, a big improvement over his 33.6 mark last year. Malik Beasley has averaged 29.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Malik Beasley has made a terrific 42.2% of his 3-point shots this year, a big improvement over his 33.6 mark last year. Malik Beasley has averaged 29.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-102

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) against the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA at home this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the league) against the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA at home this year. The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Harrison Barnes will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 100th percentile for shots hit, compiling a monstrous 11.5 per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk 59.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 27.8% higher than he's made overall this season. Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.1 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.6
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.6

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 100th percentile for shots hit, compiling a monstrous 11.5 per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk 59.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 27.8% higher than he's made overall this season. Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.1 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-124

Bobby Portis has successfully made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Bobby Portis has sunk 92.2% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Bobby Portis has successfully made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 120.9 points per game settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Bobby Portis has sunk 92.2% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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