Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
NBALP

Denver @ San Antonio props

Moody Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-135

Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.7 minutes per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.7 minutes per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Devin Vassell has attempted 15.2 shots per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell comes in at the 92nd percentile for three-pointers drained, averaging 2.5 per game this year. Devin Vassell has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Devin Vassell

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Devin Vassell has attempted 15.2 shots per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell comes in at the 92nd percentile for three-pointers drained, averaging 2.5 per game this year. Devin Vassell has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Michael Porter Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.0% more than he's sunk overall this year on the road.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Michael Porter Jr. has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.0% more than he's sunk overall this year on the road.

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-109

Tre Jones has successfully made 50.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 20.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Tre Jones has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 21.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Tre Jones will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Tre Jones

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Tre Jones has successfully made 50.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 20.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Tre Jones has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 21.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Tre Jones will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has converted 52.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Relative to last season's 45.7% mark, Peyton Watson's free-throw proficiency has risen this season to 61.5%.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Peyton Watson has converted 52.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs). Relative to last season's 45.7% mark, Peyton Watson's free-throw proficiency has risen this season to 61.5%.

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Julian Champagnie has sunk 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing at home. Julian Champagnie has played 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.4 more than he's played overall this year at home. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Julian Champagnie has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's made overall this year.

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Julian Champagnie has sunk 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing at home. Julian Champagnie has played 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.4 more than he's played overall this year at home. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Julian Champagnie has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's made overall this year.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has made 10.2 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The number of points totaled against Victor Wembanyama has been quite high (17.4 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Nikola Jokic has made 10.2 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The number of points totaled against Victor Wembanyama has been quite high (17.4 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jamal Murray has converted 9.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 42.0% of his treys when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Jamal Murray has converted 9.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 42.0% of his treys when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jeremy Sochan has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jeremy Sochan has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against Denver is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.8%). The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Jeremy Sochan has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jeremy Sochan has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against Denver is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.8%). The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Aaron Gordon has converted 67.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.4 minutes per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Aaron Gordon has converted 67.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.4 minutes per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 52.5% field goal percentage settles in as the strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson registers in the 84th percentile for shots taken, averaging 12.9 per game this year. Keldon Johnson has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.6 minutes per game this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson registers in the 84th percentile for shots taken, averaging 12.9 per game this year. Keldon Johnson has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 29.6 minutes per game this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 92nd percentile for shots taken, compiling 16.2 per game this year. Victor Wembanyama has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing at home. Victor Wembanyama has played 28.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for field goal attempts; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 11.9 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 92nd percentile for shots taken, compiling 16.2 per game this year. Victor Wembanyama has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing at home. Victor Wembanyama has played 28.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for field goal attempts; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 11.9 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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