LIVE 11:30 4th Dec 4
DET 88 12.0 o221.0
BOS 106 -12.0 u221.0
LIVE End Dec 4
IND 70 -3.5 o226.0
BK 75 3.5 u226.0
LIVE 10:27 4th Dec 4
LAL 76 3.5 o217.0
MIA 112 -3.5 u217.0
LIVE End Dec 4
ORL 77 -6.0 o209.5
PHI 77 6.0 u209.5
LIVE Halftime Dec 4
ATL 70 4.0 o236.5
MIL 59 -4.0 u236.5
MIN -3.5 o211.5
LAC 3.5 u211.5
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
NBALP

Utah @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league playing at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league playing at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 4.8 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have surged this season to 8.8. In contrast to last season's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 3.2 per game. The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Compared to last season's 4.8 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have surged this season to 8.8. In contrast to last season's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 3.2 per game. The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has converted 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 68.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from home. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a strong one; he has given up a colossal 16.0 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Walker Kessler has converted 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 68.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from home. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a strong one; he has given up a colossal 16.0 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Scored Props • Utah

T. Horton-Tucker
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Talen Horton-Tucker has attempted 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Talen Horton-Tucker

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Talen Horton-Tucker has attempted 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kyrie Irving has attempted 19.6 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.0 3-point attempts per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, resulting in a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Kyrie Irving has attempted 19.6 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.0 3-point attempts per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, resulting in a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 5th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year. Dereck Lively II has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 5th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year. Dereck Lively II has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

Taylor Hendricks Points Scored Props • Utah

T. Hendricks
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Taylor Hendricks has successfully made 51.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Taylor Hendricks has played 25.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's played overall this season. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz.

Taylor Hendricks

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Taylor Hendricks has successfully made 51.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Taylor Hendricks has played 25.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's played overall this season. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+104

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 77.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league playing at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Walker Kessler has been very high (4.1 free throw attempts per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 77.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league playing at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Walker Kessler has been very high (4.1 free throw attempts per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Under
-117

Keyonte George has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Jazz's poor 33.9% rate of sunk threes without the home court advantage rates 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a tough matchup. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Keyonte George will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Keyonte George

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Keyonte George has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Jazz's poor 33.9% rate of sunk threes without the home court advantage rates 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a tough matchup. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Keyonte George will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has successfully made 55.5% of his shots from the field over the last 11 games on the road, 11.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year away from home. Kris Dunn has successfully made 52.8% of his three-point shots over the last 11 games on the road, 13.6% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home. Kris Dunn has averaged 25.4 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on the road, 6.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for threes; when the Mavericks are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Kris Dunn has successfully made 55.5% of his shots from the field over the last 11 games on the road, 11.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year away from home. Kris Dunn has successfully made 52.8% of his three-point shots over the last 11 games on the road, 13.6% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing away from home. Kris Dunn has averaged 25.4 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on the road, 6.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for threes; when the Mavericks are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
34
Best Odds
Over
-114

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 100th percentile, averaging a massive 34.1 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 10.4 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.5 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 34
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
34

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 100th percentile, averaging a massive 34.1 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 10.4 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.5 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-129

Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 97th percentile for three-point attempts, posting 8.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 97th percentile for three-point attempts, posting 8.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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