Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
NBALP

Minnesota @ Memphis props

FedExForum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Rose Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Rose
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In terms of shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 106.4 points per game while on the road measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.8% on shot attempts from the field (15th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Derrick Rose

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

In terms of shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 106.4 points per game while on the road measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.8% on shot attempts from the field (15th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

In contrast to last season's 13.1 clip, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s shots taken have spiked this season to 15.8 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. Jaren Jackson Jr. has made an impressive 4.9 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 rate last year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

In contrast to last season's 13.1 clip, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s shots taken have spiked this season to 15.8 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 30.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. Jaren Jackson Jr. has made an impressive 4.9 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 rate last year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Bismack Biyombo has averaged an impressive 26.9 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 13.4 minutes per game last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. In comparison to last year's 40.6% rate, Bismack Biyombo's free-throw prowess has jumped this year to 55.2%. Bismack Biyombo will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production across the board.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

Bismack Biyombo has averaged an impressive 26.9 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 13.4 minutes per game last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. In comparison to last year's 40.6% rate, Bismack Biyombo's free-throw prowess has jumped this year to 55.2%. Bismack Biyombo will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production across the board.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 3.2 clip, Naz Reid's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 4.4 per game. Naz Reid has been called for a measly 1.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.6 fouls per game last year. This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Naz Reid has made a whopping 95.8% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly higher than his 68.6 rate last season. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

In contrast to last season's 3.2 clip, Naz Reid's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 4.4 per game. Naz Reid has been called for a measly 1.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.6 fouls per game last year. This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Naz Reid has made a whopping 95.8% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly higher than his 68.6 rate last season. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has tallied just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last year. This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Kyle Anderson has successfully made 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Kyle Anderson has tallied just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last year. This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Kyle Anderson has successfully made 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 5th percentile for three-point performance on the road with a a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have totaled 8.8 field goal attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a hard matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 5th percentile for three-point performance on the road with a a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have totaled 8.8 field goal attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a hard matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made a mere 38.0% of his shots from the field this season, significantly lower than his 43.5 rate last season. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 3.8 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made a mere 38.0% of his shots from the field this season, significantly lower than his 43.5 rate last season. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 3.8 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-112

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk an impressive 9.4 shots made from the field per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.1 rate last year. Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.7 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk an impressive 9.4 shots made from the field per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.1 rate last year. Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.7 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has made a whopping 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.5 rate last year. Santi Aldama has tallied an impressive 26.7 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 20.9 minutes per game last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This matchup is a challenging one; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (105.3). This year when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 20.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Santi Aldama has made a whopping 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.5 rate last year. Santi Aldama has tallied an impressive 26.7 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 20.9 minutes per game last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This matchup is a challenging one; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (105.3). This year when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 20.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

David Roddy has sunk 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home. Relative to last year's 17.1 rate, David Roddy's playing time has increased this year to 23.1 minutes per game. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. David Roddy ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

David Roddy

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

David Roddy has sunk 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home. Relative to last year's 17.1 rate, David Roddy's playing time has increased this year to 23.1 minutes per game. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. David Roddy ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (22.7). This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Mike Conley has made a whopping 98.6% of his free throws this year, quite a bit higher than his 82.8 rate last year. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Mike Conley has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (22.7). This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Mike Conley has made a whopping 98.6% of his free throws this year, quite a bit higher than his 82.8 rate last year. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.8). This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 5.3 foul shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.1 rate last season. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.8). This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 5.3 foul shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.1 rate last season. In regard to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game away from home ranks 5th-best in the NBA this year.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Desmond Bane has converted an impressive 9.2 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 mark last season. Relative to last season's 6.9 clip, Desmond Bane's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 9.7 per game. Desmond Bane has played 33.6 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Desmond Bane has converted an impressive 9.2 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 mark last season. Relative to last season's 6.9 clip, Desmond Bane's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 9.7 per game. Desmond Bane has played 33.6 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while at home this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic