LIVE 02:58 4th Nov 21
MIN 96 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 105 7.0 u226.0
LIVE 00:23 3rd Nov 21
UTA 89 3.0 o224.0
SA 82 -3.0 u224.0
ORL 5.5 o216.5
LAL -5.5 u216.5
Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26

Phoenix @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. Kevin Durant has successfully made a measly 4.9 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.8 rate last year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. Kevin Durant has successfully made a measly 4.9 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.8 rate last year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Royce O'Neale has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+104

Jusuf Nurkic has made 69.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 16.8% more than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a good one for 3-point attempts; when Gobert is at home and facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.2 treys per game (100th percentile). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.6 free throw attempts per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Jusuf Nurkic has made 69.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 16.8% more than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a good one for 3-point attempts; when Gobert is at home and facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.2 treys per game (100th percentile). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.6 free throw attempts per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen rates in the 75th percentile, averaging a monstrous 12.6 points per game on the road this year. Relative to last year's 2.1 mark, Grayson Allen's threes converted have increased this year to 2.7 per game. Grayson Allen has tallied a whopping 33.4 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 27.5 minutes per game last season. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen rates in the 75th percentile, averaging a monstrous 12.6 points per game on the road this year. Relative to last year's 2.1 mark, Grayson Allen's threes converted have increased this year to 2.7 per game. Grayson Allen has tallied a whopping 33.4 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 27.5 minutes per game last season. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-122

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 threes per game (fewest in the league) against the Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 threes per game (fewest in the league) against the Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 12.2 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Suns, creating a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Suns are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 12.2 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Suns, creating a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Suns are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Devin Booker has successfully made 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Booker lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Devin Booker has made 6.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Devin Booker

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Devin Booker has successfully made 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Booker lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Devin Booker has made 6.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-128

Bradley Beal has converted 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Bradley Beal has made 59.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 17.2% higher than he's converted from three overall this year. Bradley Beal has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Bradley Beal has converted 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Bradley Beal has made 59.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 17.2% higher than he's converted from three overall this year. Bradley Beal has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 8th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-120

Naz Reid has attempted 12.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Naz Reid has converted 2.9 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while at home. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's remarkable 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. Naz Reid has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Naz Reid has attempted 12.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Naz Reid has converted 2.9 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while at home. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's remarkable 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. Naz Reid has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (0.9). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (0.9). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's remarkable 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-highest in the league this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest three percentage in the league this year (41.1%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this year while on his home court.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's remarkable 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-highest in the league this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest three percentage in the league this year (41.1%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this year while on his home court.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Rudy Gobert has tallied 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 97th percentile for field goal effectiveness with an impressive 66.3% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's remarkable 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Rudy Gobert has tallied 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 97th percentile for field goal effectiveness with an impressive 66.3% rate this year. Rudy Gobert has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's remarkable 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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