Final Nov 15
MIA 124 4.5 o228.5
IND 111 -4.5 u228.5
Final Nov 15
PHI 86 2.5 o209.0
ORL 98 -2.5 u209.0
Final Nov 15
DET 99 -2.5 o225.0
TOR 95 2.5 u225.0
Final Nov 15
LAL 120 -2.5 o228.0
SA 115 2.5 u228.0
Final Nov 15
WAS 117 9.5 o241.5
ATL 129 -9.5 u241.5
Final Nov 15
BK 122 8.5 o214.5
NY 124 -8.5 u214.5
Final Nov 15
CHI 126 10.0 o239.0
CLE 144 -10.0 u239.0
Final Nov 15
PHO 83 7.5 o228.0
OKC 99 -7.5 u228.0
Final Nov 15
LAC 104 5.0 o215.5
HOU 125 -5.0 u215.5
Final Nov 15
DEN 94 -2.0 o217.5
NO 101 2.0 u217.5
Final OT Nov 15
MIN 130 -1.5 o221.5
SAC 126 1.5 u221.5
Final Nov 15
MEM 118 7.0 o236.5
GS 123 -7.0 u236.5
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
ESPN, TSN

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
+5000

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 89th percentile, totaling a colossal 19.7 points per game while on his home court this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 94th percentile for foul shots made, tallying a massive 4.0 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 89th percentile, totaling a colossal 19.7 points per game while on his home court this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 94th percentile for foul shots made, tallying a massive 4.0 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
+5000

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 12.8 field goals per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for threes scored when playing away from home, compiling 2.5 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 37.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 12.8 field goals per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for threes scored when playing away from home, compiling 2.5 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 37.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
+5000

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 65.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road. Aaron Gordon has made 47.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has played 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 65.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road. Aaron Gordon has made 47.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has played 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's played overall this season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Over
+5000

Anthony Edwards has compiled 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Anthony Edwards has converted a terrific 5.4 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.1 mark last season. This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.9

Anthony Edwards has compiled 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's compiled in all games this season. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Anthony Edwards has converted a terrific 5.4 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.1 mark last season. This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+1100
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+1100
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has converted 57.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Christian Braun has successfully made 75.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 40.2% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Christian Braun has converted 57.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Christian Braun has successfully made 75.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 40.2% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-116

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 97th percentile for shooting performance with a phenomenal 66.1% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The clash with Nikola Jokic places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs putting up a massive 16.3 points per game this year. Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 97th percentile for shooting performance with a phenomenal 66.1% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The clash with Nikola Jokic places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs putting up a massive 16.3 points per game this year. Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-104

Nikola Jokic has attempted 20.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 39.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.2 per game) when at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Nikola Jokic has attempted 20.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 39.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.2 per game) when at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Mike Conley slots into the 89th percentile for three-point ability playing at home with an excellent 43.3% rate this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the league, Mike Conley slots into the 89th percentile for three-point ability playing at home with an excellent 43.3% rate this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 51.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% more than he's made in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.1 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (6th-most in the league).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 51.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% more than he's made in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.1 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (6th-most in the league).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Naz Reid has converted 41.0% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home. Naz Reid stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Naz Reid has converted 41.0% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Naz Reid has made 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home. Naz Reid stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 29.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden McDaniels will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 29.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Jaden McDaniels will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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