Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
TSN, ABC, ESPN

Boston @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has converted a terrific 1.7 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.0 rate last year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Payton Pritchard has converted a terrific 1.7 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.0 rate last year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 45.1% clip, Al Horford's shooting proficiency has increased this season to 50.7%. Al Horford has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.8 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. The rate of shots from downtown made against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (34.4%) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Relative to last season's 45.1% clip, Al Horford's shooting proficiency has increased this season to 50.7%. Al Horford has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.8 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. The rate of shots from downtown made against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (34.4%) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving has attempted 19.1 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 96th percentile for three-point shots made, compiling 2.8 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has tallied 41.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. Kyrie Irving ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Kyrie Irving has attempted 19.1 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 96th percentile for three-point shots made, compiling 2.8 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has tallied 41.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. Kyrie Irving ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has attempted 8.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. P.J. Washington will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

P.J. Washington has attempted 8.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has averaged 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. P.J. Washington will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown has averaged 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. Jaylen Brown has sunk 47.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 14.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Jaylen Brown has averaged 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. Jaylen Brown has sunk 47.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 14.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.5
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.5

Luka Doncic has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jayson Tatum has played 43.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's played over the course of the year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a favorable matchup. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has made 5.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.6
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.6

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Jayson Tatum has played 43.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's played over the course of the year. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a favorable matchup. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has made 5.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 76.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Al Horford is a favorable one; he has allowed a whopping 15.2 points per game when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Daniel Gafford has attempted 3.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Daniel Gafford has made 76.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Al Horford is a favorable one; he has allowed a whopping 15.2 points per game when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Daniel Gafford has attempted 3.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 38.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Jrue Holiday has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 38.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics. As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home with just 18.3 free throws per game. Kristaps Porzingis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics. As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home with just 18.3 free throws per game. Kristaps Porzingis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Derrick White has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Derrick White registers in the 91st percentile for foul-shot ability without the home court advantage with a terrific 90.2% rate this year.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Derrick White has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Derrick White registers in the 91st percentile for foul-shot ability without the home court advantage with a terrific 90.2% rate this year.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 70.7% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance across the board.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Dereck Lively II has sunk 70.7% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's terrific 115.7 points per game settles in as the 9th-highest in the NBA this year. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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