Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 8.3 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 10.5 rate last season. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.