LIVE 02:54 2nd Nov 23
DEN 51 4.0 o236.0
LAL 57 -4.0 u236.0
Final Nov 23
NY 106 -8.5 o234.0
UTA 121 8.5 u234.0
Final Nov 23
DET 100 9.0 o207.5
ORL 111 -9.0 u207.5
Final Nov 23
CHA 119 8.0 o224.0
MIL 125 -8.0 u224.0
Final Nov 23
MEM 142 -4.0 o244.0
CHI 131 4.0 u244.0
Final Nov 23
POR 104 11.5 o226.5
HOU 98 -11.5 u226.5
Final Nov 23
GS 94 -3.5 o229.0
SA 104 3.5 u229.0
Denver 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE8-6
New Orleans 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE4-13

Denver @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dario Šarić Points Scored Props • Denver

D. Šarić
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The rate of 3-pointers sunk against Yves Missi has been very high (61.2%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Dario Saric has converted 85.2% of his foul shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Dario Šarić

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

The rate of 3-pointers sunk against Yves Missi has been very high (61.2%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Dario Saric has converted 85.2% of his foul shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has converted just 33.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly lower than his 43.9 mark last year. In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Russell Westbrook will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Russell Westbrook has converted just 33.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly lower than his 43.9 mark last year. In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Russell Westbrook will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has posted 13.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's posted in all games this season. Peyton Watson has made 48.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.9% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Peyton Watson has posted 13.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's posted in all games this season. Peyton Watson has made 48.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.9% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Yves Missi has been remarkably low this year (2.3 free throw attempts per game: 12th percentile). Nikola Jokic will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Yves Missi has been remarkably low this year (2.3 free throw attempts per game: 12th percentile). Nikola Jokic will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has missed 6.4 shots from the field per game at home since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 76th percentile for misses at home. As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 105.4 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Trey Murphy III has missed 6.4 shots from the field per game at home since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 76th percentile for misses at home. As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 105.4 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Javonte Green Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Green
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Projection Rating

Javonte Green has accumulated 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 11 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season. As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 105.4 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Javonte Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Javonte Green has accumulated 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 11 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season. As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 105.4 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year. The Pelicans have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 9.1 shot attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Michael Porter

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 9.1 shot attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to draw fouls. Michael Porter Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Yves Missi has converted 84.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 27.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Dario Saric has been quite high (3.7 foul shot attempts per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (88th percentile). Yves Missi is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Yves Missi has converted 84.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 27.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Dario Saric has been quite high (3.7 foul shot attempts per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (88th percentile). Yves Missi is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray rates in the 93rd percentile for shots from the field, logging 17.2 per game since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has successfully made 39.8% of his 3-point shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season. The matchup against New Orleans is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray rates in the 93rd percentile for shots from the field, logging 17.2 per game since the start of last season. Jamal Murray has successfully made 39.8% of his 3-point shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season. The matchup against New Orleans is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Jaylen Nowell Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Nowell
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Nowell slots into the 95th percentile for 3-point efficiency at home with a remarkable 50.0% rate since the start of last season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Jaylen Nowell has sunk 87.5% of his free throws over the last 13 games, 25.0% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jaylen Nowell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

Jaylen Nowell

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Nowell slots into the 95th percentile for 3-point efficiency at home with a remarkable 50.0% rate since the start of last season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Jaylen Nowell has sunk 87.5% of his free throws over the last 13 games, 25.0% higher than he's made in all games this season. Jaylen Nowell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram registers in the 97th percentile for shots taken, registering 19.2 per game this year. Relative to last season's 1.3 rate, Brandon Ingram's 3-point shots sunk have surged this season to 2.4 per game. Brandon Ingram has averaged 32.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram registers in the 97th percentile for shots taken, registering 19.2 per game this year. Relative to last season's 1.3 rate, Brandon Ingram's 3-point shots sunk have surged this season to 2.4 per game. Brandon Ingram has averaged 32.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 79th percentile. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has sunk 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Christian Braun

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Christian Braun has sunk 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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